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MLB

Kansas City Royals

Model-graded picks, player props and the edge on every market — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs San Diego Padres (Home) Sat 18 Jul, 12:10AM Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City · Outdoor
Model updated Jul 17, 8:09AM UTC
Answer
The Kansas City Royals model is leaning San Diego Padres in the Moneyline market vs San Diego Padres.
exact probability, edge and line unlock with a subscription.

Today's Game Pick

Model edge
Moneyline
San Diego Padres
Odds: -108
Model prob: 74.5%
+22.6%
Free pick — today's headline game edge

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Calibrated Edge — Game Markets

Calibrated vs fair
MarketModel output
MoneylineProbability, fair odds & edge locked
SpreadProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Moneyline - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Spread - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total RunsProbability, fair odds & edge locked
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsProbability, fair odds & edge locked

Full model-edge table — 7 game markets for this team with exact probability, fair odds and edge — is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 14 Jul 2026, 17:37 UTC · may be stale
2B
Jonathan IndiaOUTinjury
3B
Maikel GarciaOUTinjury
CF
Kyle IsbelOUTinjury
RP
Carlos EstevezOUTinjuryConnor SeaboldOUTinjuryJames McArthurOUTinjuryNick MearsOUTinjury
SP
Alec MarshOUTinjuryCole RagansOUTinjuryKris BubicOUTinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
0
Total Picks
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Hit Rate
DateOpponentMarketPickResult

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineSan Diego Padres favored (model)+102+31.2% edge
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.8Home L52-3

Kansas City Royals moneyline vs San Diego Padres is live and a +31.2% model edge; L5 record 1-4.

Run LineSan Diego Padres run line-1.5 +142+19.2% edge
-2.7proj. margin
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.8Home L52-3

Kansas City Royals spread vs San Diego Padres is live and a +19.2% model edge; proj. margin -2.7.

Total RunsGame total · Kansas City Royals vs San Diego PadresUnder 14.5 -455+2.6% edge
85%under %
9.7proj. runs
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.8Home L52-3O/U6-6

Kansas City Royals total runs vs San Diego Padres is live with a model 85% read and a +2.6% model edge; proj. runs 9.7.

Team Total RunsKansas City Royals team totalNo line posted
2.2L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.8Home L52-3

Kansas City Royals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

About This Team

Kansas City Royals are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. Their next game is against San Diego Padres on Saturday 18 July at Kauffman Stadium. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Kansas City Royals.