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MLB

Kansas City Royals

Today's best bet on this team, checked by our model — with the full result history below.

Every pick graded — see verified results
Next Game: vs Boston Red Sox (Away) Fri 11 Sep, 11:10PM Fenway Park, Boston · Outdoor

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 26 bookmakers compared
Winner
Royals2.78+178Kalshi
Boston Red Sox1.54-186Kalshi
Total runs
Over8.52.00+100Kalshi
Under8.51.96-104Kalshi

Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox odds by bookmaker

26 books · best price in green
BookRoyals winBoston Red Sox winBoston Red Sox -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
BetAnySports2.67+1671.53-1892.10+1101.91-1101.91-110
BetMGM2.65+1651.50-2002.10+1101.91-1101.91-110
BetOnline2.75+1751.51-1962.10+1101.89-1121.93-108
BetUS2.70+1701.51-1962.10+1101.91-1101.91-110
Bovada2.65+1651.50-2002.15+1151.87-1151.95-105
DraftKings2.68+1681.49-2042.09+1091.92-1091.90-111
ESPN BET2.65+1651.51-1962.15+1151.87-1151.91-110
Fanatics2.70+1701.49-2042.05+1051.95-1051.87-115
FanDuel2.66+1661.51-1962.12+1121.87-1151.95-105
Fliff2.70+1701.48-2082.05+1051.91-1101.87-115
Hard Rock Bet2.65+1651.50-2002.10+1101.91-1101.91-110
Kalshi2.78+1781.54-186—2.00+1001.96-104
LowVig2.75+1751.51-1962.13+1131.92-1091.95-105
MyBookie2.64+1641.51-1962.09+1091.92-1091.88-114

Since the market opened: Boston Red Sox to win opened 1.50, best now 1.58; the over 8.5 opened 1.90, best now 2.06 (decimal, best book).

The recordOur formula’s best MLB market: mlb batter home runs overs · 26 of 140 · +$1,584
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Model updated Sep 11, 2:15AM UTC
Answer
The Kansas City Royals model is leaning the under in the Total Runs market vs Boston Red Sox.
model hit rate 67.9% across 28 settled Kansas City Royals picks · the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Scoring profile

Points scored per game4.0
Points allowed per game5.5

Across the last 10 completed games on record.

Today's Game Pick

Our call
Total Runs
Under 12.5
Odds: -500
Our numbers say this wins about 79 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $120 if it lands
-4.8%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

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Upcoming Games

Next 1
DateOpponentWhereVenuePrediction
Fri 11 SepBoston Red SoxAwayFenway ParkPreview →

Recent Results

3–7 in the last 10
DateOpponentWhereScoreResultRecap
9 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome5–2WRecap →
8 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome3–5LRecap →
7 SepArizona DiamondbacksHome4–5LRecap →
6 SepToronto Blue JaysHome6–1WRecap →
5 SepToronto Blue JaysHome2–9LRecap →
5 SepToronto Blue JaysHome3–4LRecap →
3 SepMiami MarlinsHome7–3WRecap →
2 SepMiami MarlinsHome6–9LRecap →
1 SepMiami MarlinsHome3–6LRecap →
30 AugCleveland GuardiansAway1–11LRecap →

Every Game Bet, Graded

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
MoneylineWith Pro
Total RunsWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Spread - 1st 5 InningsWith Pro
Total Runs - 1st 1 InningsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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Availability

Roster status
Updated 10 Sep 2026, 13:53 UTC · may be stale
2B
Jonathan IndiaOUTinjury
3B
Maikel GarciaOUTinjury
RP
Beck WayOUTinjuryCarlos EstevezOUTinjuryConnor SeaboldOUTinjuryJames McArthurOUTinjuryNick MearsOUTinjury
SP
Alec MarshOUTinjuryCole RagansOUTinjuryLuinder AvilaOUTinjuryStephen KolekOUTinjuryTony GonsolinOUTinjury
RF
Jac CaglianoneDAY-TO-DAYinjury

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Ballpark conditions (temperature, wind direction and roof state) can move MLB run totals, and matter most in open-air parks with strong prevailing winds.
Per-game ballpark weather is pending a file→table persistence job (owner). No live park weather is shown here until that data is in the database.

Model Performance History

All results →
28
Total Picks
67.9%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateOpponentMarketPickResult
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 5.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Spread - 1st 5 Innings Kansas City Royals -2.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs Under 6 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 4.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs Under 5.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 2.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 1.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 3.5 ✗ MISS
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Spread Kansas City Royals -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Spread - 1st 5 Innings Kansas City Royals -1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineKansas City Royals to win+167
3-2L5 record
L5 RF2.8L5 RA0.8Away L52-3

Kansas City Royals moneyline vs Boston Red Sox is live and our model makes it 41% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 3-2.

Total RunsGame total · Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red SoxUnder 2.5 +1700
7.9proj. runs
L5 RF2.8L5 RA0.8Away L52-3

Kansas City Royals total runs vs Boston Red Sox is live and our model makes it 7% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 7.9.

Run LineKansas City Royals run line+5.5 -833
90%cover %
+0.4proj. margin
L5 RF2.8L5 RA0.8Away L52-3

Kansas City Royals spread vs Boston Red Sox is live and our model makes it 90% (HIGH); proj. margin +0.4.

Team Total RunsKansas City Royals team totalNo line posted
2.8L5 runs/gm
L5 RF2.8L5 RA0.8Away L52-3

Kansas City Royals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 2.8 runs/gm.

About This Team

Kansas City Royals are tracked by the Bet Better model across MLB games. The model has hit at a rate of 67.9% on tracked Kansas City Royals picks. Their next game is against Boston Red Sox on Friday 11 September at Fenway Park. Use the data above to inform your MLB betting decisions for Kansas City Royals.

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