Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Picks & Predictions

Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)

The bet on Bobby Witt Jr. for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Witt Jr.'s last five overall and home stolen base averages are both at 0.4, which is below the line set at 0.5. This shows that he's been stealing less than half a base per game recently, both overall and at home. Furthermore, his overall current hit streak is at 0, suggesting he might struggle to get on base to even have an opportunity to steal. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rates are low, indicating that he's not attempting many stolen bases. When he played against the Blue Jays, his stolen base average was higher at 0.6 but still not significantly over the 0.5 line. Therefore, the statistics indicate that it's unlikely Witt Jr. will steal a base in this game.

Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-323)

Betting on Michael Wacha to allow over 3.5 hits is a smart choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games, he's allowed an average of 4.8 hits overall and 4.6 hits at home. His performance against the Toronto Blue Jays specifically is even more telling, with an average of 6.2 hits allowed. This suggests he struggles against this particular opposition. Furthermore, his home current hit streak stands at nine, indicating a consistent trend of allowing hits when playing at home. His innings pitched (IP) and outs average also support this bet. Despite pitching slightly more innings at home (5.3 vs 4.9 overall), Wacha's outs average is lower at home (16.6 vs 15.6 overall). This suggests he's more likely to allow hits before getting outs when playing at home. All these factors make the Over 3.5 bet a good choice.