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Jose Berrios

TOR

Value call

Jose Berrios has one live pick today: over 3.5 strikeouts that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
83 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.2% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +16.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Tue 16 Sep, 7:35 PM ET
Jose Berrios
over 3.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Over 3.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
HIGHWins about 83 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.00 Odds-200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Berrios is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 10:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
updated May 27, 5:29PM UTC · 136d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts83.2%—66.7%1.20+16.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jose Berrios (TOR) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Berrios to achieve over 3.5 strikeouts is statistically supported by his recent performance data. His last five overall and away games show an average of 4.8 strikeouts, which is above the line set for this bet. Moreover, when specifically playing against the Tampa Bay Rays, Berrios has an even higher average of 5.6 strikeouts. His innings pitched (IP) average is also consistently above 5, indicating he typically plays long enough to achieve the desired number of strikeouts. Although his current overall hit streak is 0, his away hit streak is 1, suggesting he may be entering into a positive performance trend for away games. These statistics collectively indicate a strong likelihood of Berrios exceeding 3.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Berrios (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Berrios is Over 3.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.5% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday 16 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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