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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jose Berrios is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 80%, edge +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 1, 12:18AM UTC
MLB

Jose Berrios

TOR

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
+11.8% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Tue 16 Sep, 11:35PM
OUT
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said that Berrios underwent full Tommy John surgery Wednesday in addition to having a stress fracture repaired, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
updated May 27, 5:29PM UTC · 96d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.8% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +11.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks91.8%80.0%1.09+11.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Jose Berrios (TOR) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Berrios to allow over 0.5 walks is backed by his recent performance data. In his last five overall games, Berrios has averaged 2.6 walks per game, which is well over the line of 0.5. Even when considering his away game performance, he has averaged 1.4 walks, which still surpasses the line. His performance against the Tampa Bay Rays specifically is also notable, as he has averaged 2 walks in the last five games against them. Furthermore, Berrios has a current hit streak of 10 overall games and 5 away games, suggesting a trend of allowing hits that could lead to walks. Therefore, based on these statistics, there is a high probability that Berrios will allow more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jose Berrios is averaging 5.6 hits, 1.2 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.6
Hits
1.2
HR
0.0
RBI
3.2
Runs
2.6
Walks
4.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Jose Berrios has gone over 2.5 H in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.590%
o3.580%
o4.550%
o5.560%
o6.520%
o7.510%
o8.510%
o9.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jose Berrios is averaging 5.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 5.0 in away games, including his recent form against TBR.

5.6
Hits · Overall
5.0
Hits · Away
4.8
Hits · vs TBR
1.2
HR · Overall
0.6
HR · Away
0.8
HR · vs TBR
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jose Berrios (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jose Berrios is Over 0.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday 16 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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