Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Chicago Cubs

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 5:43AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 6:20PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Chicago Cubs -2.5 Spread - 1st 5 Innings +490

The model graded 70 markets for Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $590 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win31.4%
The price says16.9%
Best price+490
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs -2.5 Long-shot31% chance +490
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Lean54% chance
Total Runs Lean50% chance
Total Runs Lean45% chance
Total Runs High62% chance
Spread Long-shot25% chance
Total Runs Long-shot29% chance
Total Runs Long-shot26% chance
Spread Long-shot19% chance
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 96%
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Highup to 98%
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 95%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Toronto Blue Jays and Chicago Cubs last met on Thu 6 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 13.5 · $100 returned $490

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 77 of 124 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Corbin Burnes Under 2.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $240
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread - 1st 5 Innings
Chicago Cubs
-0.5
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,727+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto Blue JaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • George Springer DHDay-to-day
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Trey Yesavage SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Shane Bieber SPOut
  • Jameson Taillon SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jake Bloss SPOut
  • Luis Urias 2BOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Braydon Fisher SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Kevin Gausman SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Michael Busch Batter - Walks
Myles Straw CLE Batter - Singles
Ernie Clement CLE Batter - Singles
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3Free board14-14

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
1.4runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA1.0Home L53-2vs Toronto Blue Jays L52-3

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs — recent results

Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5 games; Toronto Blue Jays have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–8MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–4MILAway
L3–10MIAAway
W6–5MIAAway
Toronto Blue Jays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2ATHAway
L0–2ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
L1–6KCAway
W9–2KCAway

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Chicago Cubs are scoring 5.0 runs per game (4-1) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 2.4 (3-2); Chicago Cubs pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 1.6 for Toronto Blue Jays.

5.0
Chicago Cubs runs/G
2.4
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesChicago CubsToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game5.02.4
Hits / game5.04.0
Home runs / game1.40.2
Walks drawn / game0.81.0
Batter K / game2.03.0
Earned runs allowed / game1.81.6
Pitching K / game3.42.0
Walks allowed / game0.62.8
L5 record4-13-2

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Chicago Cubs won 2, Toronto Blue Jays won 1.

DateChicago CubsToronto Blue JaysWinner
Aug 632Chicago Cubs
Jun 2068Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 19162Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Justin Steele SPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Dansby Swanson SSOUT
Toronto Blue Jays
PlayerStatus
George Springer DHDAY-TO-DAY
Anthony Santander RFOUT
Trey Yesavage SPOUT
Cody Ponce SPOUT
Patrick Corbin SPOUT
Shane Bieber SPOUT
Jameson Taillon SPOUT
Jonatan Clase LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

Our Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs prediction for August 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 7, 2026 our model has run Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Michael Busch (CHC) Under 0.5 Walks (-455), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Aug 26 Moneyline Chicago Cubs ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs 1.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Chicago Cubs 2.5 ✓ HIT
20 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Jays vs Cubs, or as Cubs vs Jays. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Aug 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs3–2Chicago Cubs
20 Jun 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs6–8Toronto Blue Jays
19 Jun 2026Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs16–2Chicago Cubs
14 Aug 2025Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays2–1Toronto Blue Jays
13 Aug 2025Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays1–4Chicago Cubs
12 Aug 2025Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays5–1Toronto Blue Jays
18 Aug 2024Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs0–1Toronto Blue Jays
17 Aug 2024Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs3–2Chicago Cubs
16 Aug 2024Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs6–5Chicago Cubs
13 Aug 2023Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays11–4Toronto Blue Jays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.