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Model picks & player props
Toronto Blue Jays
VS
Chicago Cubs

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 29, 12:26PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sat 20 Jun 2026, 6:20PM
20
Game Picks
5
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (Spread)
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs (MLB), model win probability 65.7%, fair odds 1.52, book price +172, model edge +29.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 20 Jun 2026, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Chicago Cubs
+3.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago CubsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago CubsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1BDay-to-day
  • Lenyn Sosa 2BOut
  • Joe Mantiply RPOut
  • Yimi Garcia RPOut
  • Jesus Sanchez RFOut
  • Addison Barger RFOut
  • Patrick Corbin SPOut
  • Jonatan Clase LFOut
  • Anthony Santander RFOut
  • Jose Berrios SPOut
  • Cody Ponce SPOut
  • Bowden Francis SPOut

Probable pitcher

Shane Bieber SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Daniel Palencia RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Ethan Roberts RPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Colin Rea SP
Availability updated Jul 29, 1:37AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Colin Rea CHC Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Nico Hoerner CHC Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
George Springer TOR Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ernie Clement CLE Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF6.2L5 RA1.0Home L55-0vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2Win rec8-9

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 5-0, 6.2 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF6.2L5 RA1.0Home L55-0vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2ATS10-9

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 5-0, 6.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue JaysNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 5-0, 6.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
4.1implied team total
L5 RF6.2L5 RA1.0Home L55-0vs Toronto Blue Jays L53-2

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 5-0, 6.2 runs/gm.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Chicago Cubs are scoring 5.8 runs per game (3-2) while Toronto Blue Jays are at 3.6 (3-2); Chicago Cubs pitchers are allowing 2.8 earned runs per game versus 3.0 for Toronto Blue Jays.

5.8
Chicago Cubs runs/G
3.6
Toronto Blue Jays runs/G
Last 5 gamesChicago CubsToronto Blue Jays
Runs / game5.83.6
Hits / game6.65.8
Home runs / game0.41.2
Walks drawn / game2.81.2
Batter K / game2.03.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.83.0
Pitching K / game2.43.4
Walks allowed / game1.22.6
L5 record3-23-2

Toronto Blue Jays @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Chicago Cubs playing Toronto Blue Jays. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays stats and odds.</p>

Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 7.5 Total Runs (-110)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 7.5 Total Runs (-114)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 8.5 Total Runs (+126)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
20 Jun 26 Moneyline Chicago Cubs ✗ MISS
20 Jun 26 Spread Chicago Cubs +3.5 ✗ MISS
20 Jun 26 Spread Chicago Cubs +4.5 ✓ HIT
20 Jun 26 Spread Chicago Cubs +2.5 ✓ HIT
20 Jun 26 Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 20 June 2026 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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