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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Vientos is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 63%, edge +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 1:13AM UTC
MLB

Mark Vientos

NYM

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+16.0% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 4:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Mets interim manager Andy Green said Tuesday that Vientos (hand) is "nearing" a rehab assignment, Michelle Margaux of SNY reports.
updated Aug 18, 9:38PM UTC · 12d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 78.5% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +16.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases78.5%—62.5%1.27+16.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Mark Vientos (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves and Mets face off in this Sunday showdown, keep an eye on Mark Vientos when it comes to total bases. While he’s shown flashes of potential, the numbers suggest a challenging day ahead. The Braves’ pitching staff has been on fire lately, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could frustrate Vientos at the plate. Moreover, Vientos has struggled against right-handed pitching, and with Atlanta’s ace likely taking the mound, his chances of racking up 1.5 total bases seem slim. The Mets have been inconsistent offensively, and with the Braves holding a strong grip on the series, the pressure could mount. Given Vientos’ current form and the Braves' ability to stifle opposing hitters, betting on him to stay under that 1.5 total bases feels like a prudent move. It's a perfect storm for an under bet, where the matchup dynamics align favorably against Vientos.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Mark Vientos is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
0.6
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Mark Vientos has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.520%
o4.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Mark Vientos is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in home games, including his recent form against WSN.

1.0
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs WSN
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs WSN
Quick answers:How many home runs does Mark Vientos hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mark Vientos (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Vientos is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 5 July at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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