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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Vientos is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +16.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:30PM UTC
MLB

Mark Vientos

NYM

+16.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -167 (1.60)
+16.0% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 5 Jul, 4:30PM
OUT
Mets interim manager Andy Green said Thursday that Vientos has been diagnosed with a fractured right hand and will be placed on the 10-day injured list, Chelsea Janes of SNY.tv reports.
updated Jul 10, 7:35PM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.5%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+16.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases78.5%—62.5%1.27+16.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Mark Vientos (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Braves and Mets face off in this Sunday showdown, keep an eye on Mark Vientos when it comes to total bases. While he’s shown flashes of potential, the numbers suggest a challenging day ahead. The Braves’ pitching staff has been on fire lately, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that could frustrate Vientos at the plate. Moreover, Vientos has struggled against right-handed pitching, and with Atlanta’s ace likely taking the mound, his chances of racking up 1.5 total bases seem slim. The Mets have been inconsistent offensively, and with the Braves holding a strong grip on the series, the pressure could mount. Given Vientos’ current form and the Braves' ability to stifle opposing hitters, betting on him to stay under that 1.5 total bases feels like a prudent move. It's a perfect storm for an under bet, where the matchup dynamics align favorably against Vientos.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%

Mark Vientos MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Mark Vientos MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Mark Vientos MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
57%hit L10

Mark Vientos MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 57% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%

Mark Vientos MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Mark Vientos (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Vientos is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 5 July at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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