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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Manaea is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100. For the numbers: model probability 57%, implied 58%, edge -1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 SOlanded 3 of the last 3
Under 5.50 SOlanded 3 of the last 3
Under 4.50 SOlanded 3 of the last 3

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 27, 11:30PM UTC
MLB

Sean Manaea

MLB

-1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
-1.6% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 936 of 1,930 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs MIL @ NYM
updated Aug 27, 11:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 56.9% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap -1.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed56.9%58.5%1.76-1.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

New York Mets play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-141). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.09 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Sean Manaea has gone over 2.5 SO in 100% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.5100%
o3.533%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under +108 ✓ HIT
21 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Walks Pending
21 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending
16 Aug 26 Washington Nationals @ New York Mets Pitcher - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Sean Manaea is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Manaea is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets on Thursday 27 August at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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