Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Manaea is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +29.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 4:34PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks
Under 3.5
-208 (1.48)
+29.9% Edge
New York Mets
@
Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
67.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Walks | 97.5% | — | 67.6% | 1.03 | +29.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 3/5 |
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Sean Manaea (ATH) Under 3.5 Walks Allowed (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cleveland Guardians play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sean Manaea (ATH) Under 3.5 Walks Allowed (-208). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
Sean Manaea MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Sean Manaea (ATH) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Manaea is Under 3.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday 5 August at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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