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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Manaea is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 44%, implied 41%, edge +6.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 4.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 ERlanded 8 of the last 10
Under 6.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 18, 12:36AM UTC
MLB

Sean Manaea

NYM

+6.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 1.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
+6.0% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 15 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 89 of 195 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Pitcher - Walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 47.3% · the book's price implies 41.3% · gap +6.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks47.3%44.0%41.3%2.59+6.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Sean Manaea (NYM) Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+142)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sean Manaea (NYM) Over 1.5 Walks Allowed (+142). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at +142 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Sean Manaea has gone over 3.5 SO in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.550%
o4.540%
o5.530%
o6.510%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Over -147 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +116 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Walks Pending
15 Sep 26 Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
08 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Sean Manaea (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Manaea is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.0% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets on Tuesday 15 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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