Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Model picks & player props
New York Mets
VS
Miami Marlins

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:28PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
loanDepot Park, Miami
Indoor
Fri 26 Sep 2025, 11:10PM
0
Game markets graded
6
Props graded

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Manaea SP

Miami Marlins

  • Kyle Stowers 1BDay-to-day
  • Max Meyer SPOut
  • Andrew Nardi RPOut
  • Robby Snelling SPOut
  • Adam Mazur SPOut
  • Anthony Bender RPOut
  • Ronny Henriquez RPOut
  • William Kempner RPOut

Probable pitcher

Ryan Gusto SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 7:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Miami Marlins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Sandy Alcantara MIA Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Sandy Alcantara MIA Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tyrone Taylor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Otto Lopez MIA Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for New York Mets at Miami Marlins — 0 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins — recent results

Miami Marlins have won 2 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5.

Miami Marlins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W12–3LAAHome
W7–0LAAHome
L3–4LAAHome
L3–11ATLAway
L1–4ATLAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1PITAway
L0–9PITAway
W6–4PITAway
W13–6CLEAway
W6–5CLEAway

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins — recent meetings

These two have met 4 times recently: Miami Marlins won 3, New York Mets won 1.

DateMiami MarlinsNew York MetsWinner
Aug 220Miami Marlins
Aug 162Miami Marlins
Jul 3152Miami Marlins
Jul 3024New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Marlins
PlayerStatus
Kyle Stowers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Max Meyer SPOUT
Andrew Nardi RPOUT
Robby Snelling SPOUT
Adam Mazur SPOUT
Anthony Bender RPOUT
Ronny Henriquez RPOUT
William Kempner RPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Austin Warren RPOUT
Juan Soto LFOUT
Justin Hagenman RPOUT
Mark Vientos 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Miami Marlins vs New York Mets. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Sandy Alcantara (MIA) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Over 2.5 strikeouts bet for Sandy Alcantara is a promising choice, based on his recent performance data. His last five games show an average of 3.2 strikeouts overall, and 5.2 when playing at home. This suggests a higher strikeout potential in home games. Additionally, when facing the Mets, his strikeout average increases to 3.8, indicating a strong track record against this specific opponent. Alcantara also averages around 5 innings per game, both overall and at home, offering ample opportunity to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. His outs average also supports this, with 15.2 outs overall, 18 at home, and 17.8 against the Mets. Therefore, based on Alcantara's home and opponent-specific performance, this bet is statistically backed.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Marlins, or as Marlins vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Friday 26 September 2025 at loanDepot Park. The model has generated 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.