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Model picks & player props
New York Mets
VS
Chicago White Sox

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox and backs New York Mets -2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $330.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Mets -2.5 Spread +230

The model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $330 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win39.9%
The price says30.3%
Best price+230
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread New York Mets -2.5 Long-shot40% chance +230
Spread Members only Lean51% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot19% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot20% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 14 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 71% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 2 props Highup to 89% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 74% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Leanup to 56% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 69% Members
Batter - Hits × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 62% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Chicago White Sox last met on Sun 23 Aug 2026: Chicago White Sox won 2-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
New York Mets
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,694+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Anthony Kay SP
Availability updated Oct 5, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Francisco Alvarez NYM Batter - Walks
Colson Montgomery Batter - Walks
Tristan Peters Batter - Walks
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Singles
Luis Robert Jr. NYM Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.2L5 RA3.4Home L54-1vs New York Mets L53-2

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.2L5 RA3.4Home L54-1vs New York Mets L53-2

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
4.2runs we expect
L5 RF5.2L5 RA3.4Home L54-1vs New York Mets L53-2

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.2 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Mets at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 5 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway
W7–3HOUAway
W6–3HOUAway
W4–2COLHome
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 2, New York Mets won 1.

DateChicago White SoxNew York MetsWinner
Aug 2321Chicago White Sox
Aug 22510New York Mets
Aug 2164Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our New York Mets at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 RBIs (-385), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Sox, or as Sox vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
New York Mets 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 23 Aug 2026, New York Mets at Chicago White Sox: the White Sox won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
23 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox2–1Chicago White Sox
22 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox5–10New York Mets
21 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox6–4Chicago White Sox
28 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets4–9Chicago White Sox
27 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets6–4New York Mets
26 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets2–1New York Mets
1 Sep 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox0–2New York Mets
31 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox3–5New York Mets
30 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox1–5New York Mets
20 Jul 2023Chicago White Sox @ New York Mets2–6Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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