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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Baty is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:30PM UTC
MLB

Brett Baty

NYM

+2.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+2.4% Edge
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.7%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+2.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks85.7%83.3%1.17+2.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Brett Baty (NYM) Under 0.5 Walks (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brett Baty (NYM) Under 0.5 Walks (-500). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

5 markets live
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -345
90%hit L10
Streak3L2093%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
001000

Brett Baty MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -345.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -250
80%hit L10
Streak3L2086%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 6 hit
001000

Brett Baty MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -250.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -204
60%hit L10
Streak4L2064%

Brett Baty MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -204.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -909
90%hit L10
Streak3L2086%

Brett Baty MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -909.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs ATLU 0.5 -500
80%hit L10
Streak2L2071%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 5 hit
00000

Brett Baty MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ATL. Current line U 0.5 at -500.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Brett Baty MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%

Brett Baty MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
030

Brett Baty MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Brett Baty MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -303 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Brett Baty (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Baty is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves on Monday 10 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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