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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Baty is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 68%, edge -8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 7:19AM UTC
MLB

Brett Baty

NYM

-8.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
-8.3% Edge
Houston Astros @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 7:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
59 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 59.3% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap -8.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs59.3%59.4%67.6%1.65-8.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Brett Baty Over 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Brett Baty needs to get at least one hit, score a run, or drive one in for this bet to win. The Mets have been decent against left-handed pitchers this year, and Baty has a chance to contribute in a game against the Astros, who have also been solid against lefties. The risk here is that Baty's recent performance has been a bit up and down, with his runs and hits not always showing up. Still, with the Mets playing at home and needing a spark, it feels like he has a good shot to make something happen tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Brett Baty has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.530%
o2.530%
o3.520%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against MIA.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs MIA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs MIA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Brett Baty hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ New York Mets Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -1667 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ New York Mets Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ New York Mets Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
27 Aug 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brett Baty (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Baty is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of -8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs New York Mets on Sunday 30 August at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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