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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Baty is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 22, 4:12PM UTC
MLB

Brett Baty

NYM

Brett Baty has one live pick today: Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 that pays $2,000 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1900 (20.00) · $100→$2,000
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 181 of 387 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.4% · before adjusting for past results 4.2% · the book's price implies 5.0% · gap +4.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored4.2%9.4%5.0%10.59-0.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies: Brett Baty Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1900)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The odds are pretty tempting for Brett Baty to score over 1.5 runs at +1900. The Mets have been scoring well lately, averaging nearly 0.6 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. Baty has had a solid number of at-bats at Citi Field, and with the wind blowing out to the outfield tonight, it's a good chance for him to get on base and cross home plate. However, there is some risk since his overall hitting has been a bit below average this season. Still, with the Mets' current form and the favorable conditions, Baty has a genuine shot. This pick is a long shot, but sometimes those can pay off big!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Brett Baty has gone over 1.5 total bases in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.530%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Brett Baty is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.8 in away games, including his recent form against MIA.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.8
Hits · Away
0.2
Hits · vs MIA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs MIA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Brett Baty hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Total Bases 2.5 Over +650 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Over +210 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - RBIs 0.5 Over +280 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Singles — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brett Baty (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Baty is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets on Sunday 20 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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