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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brett Baty is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 99%, versus the book's implied 93%, for a model edge of +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Brett Baty

NYM

+6.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -1429 (1.07)
+6.5% Edge
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 29 Jun, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.9%
Implied Probability
93.5%
Model Edge
+6.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles98.9%93.5%1.01+6.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Brett Baty (NYM) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 1.5 on Brett Baty in the Batter Doubles market is a statistically sound choice. Baty's recent performance data indicates a low likelihood of hitting more than one double in the upcoming game. His last five games show an average of 0.4 doubles overall and zero doubles when playing away. Furthermore, his performance against the Pirates has been notably low, with an average of zero doubles and a mere 0.2 hits in the last five games against this team. Even though Baty has a significant overall and away hit streak, his specific doubles production does not match this general hitting success. Therefore, the data suggests that it's unlikely Baty will hit more than one double in the upcoming game against the Pirates.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.570%

Brett Baty MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Brett Baty MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Brett Baty MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2055%
O 0.570%
O 1.520%

Brett Baty MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Brett Baty MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Brett Baty MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10

Brett Baty MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brett Baty (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brett Baty is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday 29 June at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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