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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 21 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $268.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Total Runs +168

The model graded 21 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $268 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM at Citi Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.3%
The price says37.3%
Best price+168
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 Lean50% chance +168
Total Runs Members only High63% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only High66% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High64% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean56% chance Members
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Highup to 78% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets last met on Sat 25 Jul 2026: New York Mets won 8-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
7.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 6:34PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Andy Pages Batter - Total Bases

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
3.8runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Los Angeles Dodgers L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3ATLHome
W5–3ATLHome
W5–1SFAway
W2–0SFAway
W4–3SFAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 6.0 (4-1); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

3.2
New York Mets runs/G
6.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game3.26.0
Hits / game4.67.4
Home runs / game0.81.0
Walks drawn / game2.63.8
Batter K / game4.04.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.23.6
Pitching K / game4.05.8
Walks allowed / game1.42.4
L5 record2-34-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Mets won 1, Los Angeles Dodgers won 5.

DateNew York MetsLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 2683New York Mets
Jul 2534Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2424Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 1628Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 1512Los Angeles Dodgers
Apr 1404Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT
Brusdar Graterol RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets — model preview

Deep dive into New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Mets Win (+124)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the New York Mets prepare to face the Los Angeles Dodgers, there’s a compelling case for siding with the Mets on the moneyline. Recent trends show the Mets have been finding their rhythm at the plate, boasting a .275 team batting average over the last two weeks, which is crucial against a Dodgers pitching staff that, despite its reputation, has allowed more runs than expected lately. On the flip side, the Mets' starting pitcher has been a revelation; he’s been racking up strikeouts while keeping his ERA under 3.00. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled against left-handed pitching, which could play into the Mets' hands. With the home-field advantage fueling the team’s confidence, they seem poised to capitalize on this matchup. The combination of these factors suggests a great opportunity for the Mets to secure a crucial win in front of their home crowd.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Mets, or as Mets vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Saturday 25 July 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets head-to-head record

Final scores · 31 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 19–12 across the last 31 meetings · these games average 8.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 26 Jul 2026, Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets: the Mets won 8-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets8–3New York Mets
25 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
24 Jul 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets2–4Los Angeles Dodgers
16 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–2Los Angeles Dodgers
15 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–1Los Angeles Dodgers
14 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–1Los Angeles Dodgers
13 Apr 2026New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–0Los Angeles Dodgers
5 Jun 2025New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–5Los Angeles Dodgers
4 Jun 2025New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–6New York Mets
3 Jun 2025New York Mets @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–5Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 31 meetings on file.

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