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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:15PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Los Angeles Dodgers -3.5 (Spread)
The model graded 21 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $360 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 33.1%, fair odds 3.02, book price +260, model edge +5.3%. Tip-off Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:15PM at Citi Field.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Tommy Edman Under 1.5 · $100 returned $169

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
-4.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Blake Snell SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Brock Stewart RPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tarik Skubal SP

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Christian Scott SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Andy Pages Batter - Total Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2Free board6-6

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Mets spread form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
3.5runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1PITAway
L0–9PITAway
W6–4PITAway
W13–6CLEAway
W6–5CLEAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1ARIAway
L2–4ARIAway
L3–4ARIAway
L1–5CHCAway
L6–7CHCAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 3.2 runs per game (2-3) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 6.0 (4-1); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

3.2
New York Mets runs/G
6.0
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game3.26.0
Hits / game4.67.4
Home runs / game0.81.0
Walks drawn / game2.63.8
Batter K / game4.04.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.23.6
Pitching K / game4.05.8
Walks allowed / game1.42.4
L5 record2-34-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Mets won 1, Los Angeles Dodgers won 2.

DateNew York MetsLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Jul 2683New York Mets
Jul 2534Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2424Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Austin Warren RPOUT
Juan Soto LFOUT
Justin Hagenman RPOUT
Mark Vientos 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Kris Bubic SPOUT
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Blake Snell SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Bobby Miller SPOUT
Dalton Rushing COUT
Ben Casparius RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets — model preview

Deep dive into New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers : New York Mets Win (+124)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the New York Mets prepare to face the Los Angeles Dodgers, there’s a compelling case for siding with the Mets on the moneyline. Recent trends show the Mets have been finding their rhythm at the plate, boasting a .275 team batting average over the last two weeks, which is crucial against a Dodgers pitching staff that, despite its reputation, has allowed more runs than expected lately. On the flip side, the Mets' starting pitcher has been a revelation; he’s been racking up strikeouts while keeping his ERA under 3.00. The Dodgers, while formidable, have struggled against left-handed pitching, which could play into the Mets' hands. With the home-field advantage fueling the team’s confidence, they seem poised to capitalize on this matchup. The combination of these factors suggests a great opportunity for the Mets to secure a crucial win in front of their home crowd.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
9
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
25 Jul 26 Spread New York Mets -1.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -4.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets 0.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -3.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -7.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -6.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -5.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Mets, or as Mets vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Saturday 25 July 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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