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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:07PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sat 24 May 2025, 11:15PM
2
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 2.5 (Team Total Runs)
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets (MLB), model win probability 78.9%, fair odds 1.27, book price -167, model edge +16.4%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 24 May 2025, 11:15PM at Citi Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Runs
Over
6.5
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Enrique Hernandez 1BOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Blake Snell SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Emmet Sheehan SP

New York Mets

  • Clay Holmes SPOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Dedniel Nunez RPOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Freddy Peralta SP
Availability updated Jul 20, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Mets spread form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
2.7implied team total
L5 RF2.2L5 RA2.4Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L53-2

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.2 runs/gm.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 24 May 2025 at Citi Field. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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