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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
New York Mets

San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 2:33PM UTC

Our model graded 58 markets for San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets and backs Under 5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $539.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 5:40PM
20
Game markets graded
38
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 5 Total Runs +439

The model graded 58 markets for San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $539 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 5:40PM at Citi Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win25.1%
The price says17.7%
Best price+439
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 5 Long-shot25% chance +439
Total Runs Members only High89% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot23% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only High61% chance Members
Batter - Doubles × 3 props Highup to 85% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Leanup to 40% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Leanup to 52% Members
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 50% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 5 props Long-shotup to 28% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Leanup to 54% Members
Batter - Walks × 2 props Leanup to 50% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 8 props Long-shotup to 18% Members
Batter - Hits × 3 props Long-shotup to 15% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

San Francisco Giants and New York Mets last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 8.5 · $100 returned $680

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 164 of 342 right (mlb pitcher strikeouts overs)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
11.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 38 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,564+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Bryce Eldridge DHDay-to-day
  • Reiver Sanmartin RPOut
  • Nate Furman 2BOut
  • Logan Webb SPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Rafael Devers 1BOut
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Yunior Marte SP

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Devin Williams RPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock RPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Christian Scott SP
Availability updated Sep 20, 4:26AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 30 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability30 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Christian Koss Batter - Doubles
Shay Whitcomb Batter - Doubles
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Total Bases
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Home Runs
Christian Koss Batter - RBIs

+ 38 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.4Home L51-4vs San Francisco Giants L53-2

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.4Home L51-4vs San Francisco Giants L53-2

New York Mets spread form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
3.7runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA4.4Home L51-4vs San Francisco Giants L53-2

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 58 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 38 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
38
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 58 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 57 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–3PHIHome
W6–3PHIHome
L0–3PHIHome
L1–7BALHome
L5–7BALHome
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–10LADAway
L2–8LADAway
W6–5STLAway
W10–3STLAway
L1–2STLAway

San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: New York Mets won 5, San Francisco Giants won 2.

DateNew York MetsSan Francisco GiantsWinner
Sep 642New York Mets
Sep 559San Francisco Giants
Sep 4106New York Mets
Apr 590New York Mets
Apr 552New York Mets
Apr 4103New York Mets
Apr 327San Francisco Giants

Who’s out or in doubt

30 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Devin Williams RPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock RPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Bryce Eldridge DHDAY-TO-DAY
Reiver Sanmartin RPOUT
Nate Furman 2BOUT
Logan Webb SPOUT
Randy Rodriguez RPOUT
Rafael Devers 1BOUT
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets — model preview

Our San Francisco Giants at New York Mets prediction for September 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 7, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is A.J. Ewing (NYM) Under 0.5 RBIs (-333), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 11.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 9 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 11 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread New York Mets -1.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Mets, or as Mets vs Giants. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 38 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
New York Mets 14–12 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Sep 2026San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets4–2New York Mets
5 Sep 2026San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets5–9San Francisco Giants
4 Sep 2026San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets10–6New York Mets
5 Apr 2026New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants2–5New York Mets
4 Apr 2026New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants3–10New York Mets
3 Apr 2026New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants7–2San Francisco Giants
2 Apr 2026New York Mets @ San Francisco Giants7–2San Francisco Giants
3 Aug 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets4–12San Francisco Giants
2 Aug 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets12–6New York Mets
1 Aug 2025San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets3–4San Francisco Giants

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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