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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
New York Mets

San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 10:20PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sun 3 Aug 2025, 5:40PM
4
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: San Francisco Giants (Moneyline)
The model graded 7 markets for San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $234 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 49.5%, fair odds 2.02, book price +134, model edge +6.7%. Tip-off Sun 3 Aug 2025, 5:40PM at Citi Field.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
San Francisco Giants
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
San Francisco GiantsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Daniel Susac CDay-to-day
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Victor Bericoto RFOut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Blade Tidwell SP

New York Mets

  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Austin Warren RPOut
  • Juan Soto LFOut
  • Justin Hagenman RPOut
  • Mark Vientos 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Christian Scott SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:45AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Juan Soto NYM Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L53-2Free board6-6

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L53-2

New York Mets spread form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
2.8runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs San Francisco Giants L53-2

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at New York Mets — 4 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 1 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W11–1PITAway
L0–9PITAway
W6–4PITAway
W13–6CLEAway
W6–5CLEAway
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3DETHome
W5–2DETHome
L0–8DETHome
L4–5TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Austin Warren RPOUT
Juan Soto LFOUT
Justin Hagenman RPOUT
Mark Vientos 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Daniel Susac CDAY-TO-DAY
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
Matt Chapman 3BOUT
Victor Bericoto RFOUT
Harrison Bader CFOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for New York Mets playing San Francisco Giants. Includes analysis on key players like Francisco Lindor. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants stats and odds.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits (-222)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Francisco Lindor for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a statistically sound choice. His recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of hitting at least once in the upcoming game. Over the last five games, Lindor's overall and home batting averages have been 1.8 hits per game. This suggests consistency in his performance, regardless of the location. Moreover, Lindor has a current hit streak of 3 games overall, and an even more impressive 5-game hit streak at home. His performance against the Giants is also noteworthy, averaging 1.6 hits in the last five games. These statistics indicate a high probability of Lindor getting at least one hit in the game, making the Over 0.5 bet a solid choice based on his recent performance.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Mets, or as Mets vs Giants. The most recent game between them was Sunday 3 August 2025 at Citi Field. The model has generated 4 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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