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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Francisco Lindor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs.
On Batter - Home Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 8%, implied 2%, edge +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 16, 11:34PM UTC
MLB

Francisco Lindor

NYM

+1.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Home Runs Over 1.5 +4500 (46.00) · $100→$4,600
+1.2% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 16 Sep, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
3 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Batter - Home Runs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 3.4% · the book's price implies 2.2% · gap +1.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Home Runs3.4%7.8%2.2%12.90+1.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 1.5 Home Runs (+4500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

New York Mets play Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 1.5 Home Runs (+4500). That is a Home Runs bet. It was priced at +4500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $460 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Francisco Lindor's lines for Wed 16 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Home Runs 1.5

Francisco Lindor's batter home runs line is 1.5.

Batter Doubles 0.5

Francisco Lindor's batter doubles line is 0.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5

Francisco Lindor's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Singles 0.5

Francisco Lindor's batter singles line is 0.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Francisco Lindor's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 0.5

Francisco Lindor's batter hits line is 0.5.

Batter Total Bases 1.5

Francisco Lindor's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Strikeouts 1.5

Francisco Lindor's batter strikeouts line is 1.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Francisco Lindor is averaging 0.0 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.0
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
1.7
Walks
1.7
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Francisco Lindor has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.560%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Francisco Lindor is averaging 0.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in home games.

0.0
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Home
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Francisco Lindor (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Francisco Lindor is Over 1.5 on Batter - Home Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets on Wednesday 16 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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