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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Francisco Lindor is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +9.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 3:09PM UTC
MLB

Francisco Lindor

NYM

+9.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -263 (1.38)
+9.0% Edge
New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
81.5%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+9.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs81.5%72.5%1.23+9.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Lindor (NYM) Under 0.5 RBIs (-263). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -263 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs PITU 1.5 -154
50%hit L10
L2065%
Game log vs U 1.56 / 10 hit
00007110505

Francisco Lindor MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs PIT. Current line U 1.5 at -154.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs PITU 0.5 -263
70%hit L10
Streak3L2080%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 6 hit
011003

Francisco Lindor MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs PIT. Current line U 0.5 at -263.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs PITU 0.5 -161
60%hit L10
L2060%
Game log vs U 0.51 / 5 hit
01111

Francisco Lindor MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs PIT. Current line U 0.5 at -161.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs PITU 0.5 -500
90%hit L10
L2090%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Francisco Lindor MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs PIT. Current line U 0.5 at -500.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
L2060%
O 0.570%
O 1.530%

Francisco Lindor MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Francisco Lindor MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
Streak4L2075%
O 0.580%
O 1.560%
O 2.530%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 2.4 · hi 6 · lo 0
10416

Francisco Lindor MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.5 · hi 1 · lo 0
1001

Francisco Lindor MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Francisco Lindor MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -556 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Francisco Lindor (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Francisco Lindor is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 7 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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