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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
New York Mets

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets and backs New York Mets hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $290.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug 2026, 11:11PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
New York Mets Moneyline +190

The model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $290 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Aug 2026, 11:11PM at Citi Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.7%
The price says33.7%
Best price+190
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline New York Mets Lean43% chance +190
Total Runs Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean41% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 84% Members
Pitcher - Outs × 1 prop Highup to 99% Members
Batter - Walks × 11 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 64% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 71% Members
Batter - Singles × 2 props Highup to 68% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Highup to 66% Members
Batter - RBIs × 5 props Highup to 74% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 5 props Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets last met on Thu 27 Aug 2026: Milwaukee Brewers won 8-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
New York Mets
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 62,694+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 5:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sean Manaea Pitcher - Walks
Jacob Misiorowski Pitcher - Outs
Joey Ortiz MIL Batter - Walks
Jacob Misiorowski MIL Pitcher - Walks
Cooper Pratt Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
4.0runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2SDHome
W4–3SDHome
W6–4STLHome
W3–2STLHome
W8–4STLHome

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games New York Mets are scoring 0.8 runs per game (1-4) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 2.4 (3-2); New York Mets pitchers are allowing 1.0 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Milwaukee Brewers.

0.8
New York Mets runs/G
2.4
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesNew York MetsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game0.82.4
Hits / game2.24.4
Home runs / game0.20.0
Walks drawn / game0.20.6
Batter K / game1.81.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.01.0
Pitching K / game1.02.4
Walks allowed / game0.80.6
L5 record1-43-2

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: New York Mets won 2, Milwaukee Brewers won 4.

DateNew York MetsMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Aug 2728Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 2618Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 2532New York Mets
Jul 2234Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2140New York Mets
Jul 2038Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets prediction for August 28, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 28, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Jackson Chourio Under 0.5 Walks (-270), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Mets, or as Mets vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 August 2026 at Citi Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets head-to-head record

Final scores · 27 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 20–7 across the last 27 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 27 Aug 2026, Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets: the Brewers won 8-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets2–8Milwaukee Brewers
26 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets1–8Milwaukee Brewers
25 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets
22 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers4–3Milwaukee Brewers
21 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers0–4New York Mets
20 Jul 2026New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers8–3Milwaukee Brewers
10 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers7–6Milwaukee Brewers
9 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers7–4Milwaukee Brewers
8 Aug 2025New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers3–2Milwaukee Brewers
3 Jul 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets3–2New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 27 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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