On August 20, 2026 our model has run San Diego Padres at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles (-196), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles (-196)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles (-196). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-192)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-192). That is a Total Bases bet. It was priced at -192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-196)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-196). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-104)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-104). That is a totals 1st 1 innings bet. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.62 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: New York Mets Win (+124)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: New York Mets Win (+124). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: New York Mets -0.5 (+148)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: New York Mets -0.5 (+148). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +148 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.