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MLB

Francisco Alvarez

NYM

Value call

Francisco Alvarez has one live pick today: over 1.5 singles that pays $1,020 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
15 in 100
Predicted
0.6 singles
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 14.8% · before adjusting for past results 13.1% · the book's price implies 9.8% · gap +5.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:05 PM ET
Francisco Alvarez
over 1.5 singles
Batter - Singles Over 1.5 +920 (10.20) · $100→$1,020
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 15 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$102.00 Odds+920
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Francisco Alvarez is Over 1.5 on Batter - Singles.
On Batter - Singles, our numbers say this bet wins about 15 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 15%, the price says 10%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 1:43PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Singles13.1%14.8%9.8%6.77+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Batter - Singles (+920)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Washington Nationals have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while the New York Mets are struggling, only winning 4 of their last 10. This makes the matchup interesting, especially with Francisco Alvarez stepping up his game lately by getting hits at a much higher rate than usual. With the wind blowing out toward the outfield, it could be a great night for him to find more chances to get on base. Betting on Alvarez to hit over 1.5 singles feels like a solid choice given his current form. The biggest risk is that the Mets are also finding some success, and they could make it tough for him. Still, with the Nationals' recent winning streak and favorable hitting conditions tonight, it's worth a shot.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many home runs does Francisco Alvarez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Home Runs — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Francisco Alvarez is Over 1.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 27 September at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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