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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bo Bichette is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 73%, for a model edge of +10.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 8:16AM UTC
MLB

Bo Bichette

TOR

+10.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -270 (1.37)
+10.4% Edge
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Thu 9 Jul, 5:10PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Bichette (leg/ankle) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Red Sox.
updated Jul 12, 5:14PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
83.4%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+10.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits83.4%—73.0%1.20+10.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Bo Bichette (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mets gear up to host the Royals, all eyes will be on Bo Bichette, but betting the under on his hits feels like the right play. Bichette has been battling some inconsistencies lately, and the Mets’ pitching staff has found its groove, boasting a 3.60 ERA over the last month. This is particularly concerning for a player like Bichette, who tends to struggle against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ starter, with his sharp slider and impressive strikeout rate, can be a tough matchup for any batter. Recent trends show that Bichette averages well below 1.5 hits against similar caliber pitchers. Plus, the Royals have been in a collective slump, which means fewer opportunities for Bichette to capitalize. Given the current form of both teams, expecting him to stay under 1.5 hits seems like a wise bet today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
57%hit L10
O 0.557%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.4 · hi 3 · lo 0
20320

Bo Bichette MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 57% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.529%
O 2.514%
O 3.514%

Bo Bichette MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%

Bo Bichette MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
57%hit L10
O 0.557%
O 1.514%
O 2.514%
O 3.514%
O 4.514%

Bo Bichette MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 57% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%
O 1.514%

Bo Bichette MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.514%
O 1.514%

Bo Bichette MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.529%

Bo Bichette MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -238 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -227 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 26 New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
18 Jun 26 New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits — — — Pending
12 Jun 26 Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bo Bichette (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bo Bichette is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.4% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets on Thursday 9 July at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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