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Model picks & player props
MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Wed 2 Sep 2026, 6:40 PM ET
New York Mets
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays and backs New York Mets hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $245.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Mets
New York Mets Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$24.50Best price+145
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.1%
The price says64.7%

The model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $245 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 2 Sep 2026, 6:40 PM ET at Tropicana Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings New York Mets High64% chance +145
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot5% chance Members
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 2 props Long-shotup to 32% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Hits × 12 props Highup to 61% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 67% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 4 props Highup to 87% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Highup to 72% Members
Batter - Doubles × 1 prop Long-shotup to 18% Members
Batter - Singles × 3 props Highup to 60% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays last met on Wed 2 Sep 2026: New York Mets won 10-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
New York Mets
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York MetsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York MetsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jacob Melton LFOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut
Availability updated Oct 2, 8:06PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
A.J. Ewing Batter - Walks
Victor Mesa Jr. Batter - Walks
Jared Young Batter - Walks
Chandler Simpson TBR Batter - Walks
Yandy Diaz TBR Batter - Home Runs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay RaysNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs New York Mets L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineTampa Bay Rays run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs New York Mets L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays spread form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Tampa Bay Rays vs New York MetsNo line posted

Tampa Bay Rays total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsTampa Bay Rays team totalNo line posted
4.1runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA2.6Home L54-1vs New York Mets L54-1

Tampa Bay Rays team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.0 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 4 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3NYYAway
W5–2NYYHome
W1–0NYYHome
L3–7PHIAway
W12–1PHIAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 1, New York Mets won 2.

DateTampa Bay RaysNew York MetsWinner
Sep 2410New York Mets
Sep 162Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 3123New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jacob Melton LFOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jonathan Heasley RPOUT
Ryan Pepiot SPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays — model preview

Our New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays prediction for September 3, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 3, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Richie Palacios Under 0.5 RBIs (-370), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Rays, or as Rays vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 2 September 2026 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays head-to-head record

Final scores · 16 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 10–6 across the last 16 meetings · these games average 10.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 2 Sep 2026, New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays: the Mets won 10-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
2 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays4–10New York Mets
1 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays6–2Tampa Bay Rays
31 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays2–3New York Mets
15 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets0–9Tampa Bay Rays
14 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets4–8Tampa Bay Rays
13 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets5–7Tampa Bay Rays
17 Mar 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets0–2Tampa Bay Rays
1 Mar 2025New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays1–10New York Mets
5 May 2024New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays7–6Tampa Bay Rays
4 May 2024New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays3–1Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 16 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

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