Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Benge is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +14.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 9:36AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-179 (1.56)
+14.5% Edge
New York Mets
@
Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 10:40PM
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No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
64.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 78.6% | — | 64.1% | 1.27 | +14.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/7 |
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Carson Benge Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-179)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Cleveland Guardians play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Carson Benge Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-179). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -179 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.59 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
4 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -182 Game log vs U 1.53 / 6 hit
Carson Benge MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -182.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -263 Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
Carson Benge MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -263.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -179 Game log vs U 0.53 / 5 hit
Carson Benge MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -179.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -588 Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
Carson Benge MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -588.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Carson Benge MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 2 · hi 3 · lo 0
Carson Benge MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
Carson Benge MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.2 · hi 1 · lo 0
Carson Benge MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Carson Benge MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Carson Benge is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Benge is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday 5 August at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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