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The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Benge is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 SOlanded 3 of the last 4

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 6, 9:25AM UTC
MLB

Carson Benge

NYM

Value call

Carson Benge has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Over 4.5 that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 4.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 7:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 135 of 235 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
1.8 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.8% · before adjusting for past results 10.4% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +23.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases10.4%31.8%8.3%3.14+2.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/7

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AI Analysis

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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Carson Benge Over 4.5 Batter - Total Bases (+1100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Carson Benge has been hitting the ball really well lately, and tonight he's got the wind at his back, blowing out toward the outfield. The Washington Nationals have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, which helps the team's confidence. Plus, Benge usually hits the ball hard and at the right angle, so he has a good chance to rack up total bases. However, he's been getting hits at a lower rate recently, which is the main risk here. Still, with the way the Nationals are playing and the conditions tonight, betting on Benge to go over 4.5 total bases feels like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Carson Benge has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.550%
o2.550%
o3.550%
o4.50%
Quick answers:How many home runs does Carson Benge hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 2.5 Over +304 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Carson Benge (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Benge is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 27 September at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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