On August 31, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Marcus Semien (TOR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Marcus Semien (TOR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Marcus Semien (TOR) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Singles (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cam Smith Under 0.5 Singles (-172). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles (-250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Singles (-250). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 6.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 6.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-233). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-145)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 5.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-145). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New York Mets play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Under 4.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (+114). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.