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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonah Tong is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs.
On Pitcher - Outs, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 55%, implied 47%, edge +8.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 14, 7:11AM UTC
MLB

Jonah Tong

MLB

+8.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Outs Under 14.5 +114 (2.14) · $100→$214
+8.5% Edge
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 32 of 182 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
14.2 Pitcher - Outs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 55.2% · the book's price implies 46.7% · gap +8.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Outs55.2%46.7%1.81+8.5%

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AI Analysis

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New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles: Jonah Tong Under 14.5 Pitcher - Outs (+118)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The New York Mets have been on a roll lately, scoring an average of 1.5 runs more than their opponents in the last twelve games. They've also won 7 out of their last 10 games, showing they know how to get the job done. Jonah Tong is pitching for the Mets, and against teams like the Baltimore Orioles, he'll want to keep their hitters in check. The Orioles have struggled more than the Mets, averaging 1.2 runs less than their opponents in their last twelve. Even though both teams have similar stats against lefties, there's a decent chance Tong can limit those runs. The risk here is that both teams can hit well against left-handed pitchers. Still, I'm feeling good about taking the under on 14.5 outs for Tong today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Jonah Tong's lines for Mon 14 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Outs 14.5
-149 best over price · 11 books

Jonah Tong's pitcher outs line is 14.5, best over price -149 across 11 books.

Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5

Jonah Tong's pitcher strikeouts line is 5.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Pitcher - StrikeoutsUpcoming gameU 5.5 -119

Jonah Tong MLB strikeouts. Current line U 5.5 at -119.

Pitcher - OutsUpcoming gameU 14.5 +118

Jonah Tong MLB outs. Current line U 14.5 at +118.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +131 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
07 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Miami Marlins Pitcher - Earned Runs 1.5 Under +117 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jonah Tong is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonah Tong is Under 14.5 on Pitcher - Outs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets on Monday 14 September at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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