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AFL

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn

+7.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -182 (1.55)
+7.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
UTAS Stadium, Launceston
Sat 19 Jul, 3:20AM
Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-182)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Connor Macdonald is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Port Adelaide. With a model prediction of 1 goal and an impressive 45.3% goal accuracy at home in the last 5 games, Macdonald has been consistent. His average of 1.8 goals per game in recent home matches, along with 7.8 score involvements and 3.4 shots at goal, indicate he is actively involved in Hawthorn's forward line. Against Port Adelaide, where he has averaged 0.3 goals in the last 5 matchups, Macdonald's recent form suggests he is likely to hit the scoreboard. The over on his anytime goal scorer prop bet is well-supported by his strong performance metrics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -182 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals Pending
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals Pending
19 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals Pending

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