Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Macdonald is Over 7.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 64%, implied 76%, edge +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:37PM UTC
AFL

Connor Macdonald

Hawthorn

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 7.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+0.1% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
10.4 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.8% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap +0.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs75.8%64.0%75.8%1.56+0.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) Over 7.5 player_handballs_over (-312)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dishing out handballs, Connor Macdonald of the Hawthorn Hawks is the man to watch in their clash against the West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium. The stats paint a compelling picture – with a model prediction averaging 10.4 handballs per game and a razor-thin edge of 0.1%, Macdonald is poised to facilitate his team's offensive plays with precision. Despite the tough road game ahead in Perth, Macdonald's consistency in surpassing the 7.5 handball mark makes this prop bet a tantalizing prospect. His ability to find teammates in space and create scoring opportunities could be the key to unlocking the Hawks' offensive potential. So, if you're looking to ride the wave of a player who thrives under pressure, backing Macdonald to go over 7.5 handballs seems like a savvy move for this Sunday showdown.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Connor Macdonald averaged 17.4 disposals, 1.1 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

17.4
Disposals
1.1
Goals
5.3
Marks
2.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Connor Macdonald recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide10031
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs23273
24 Aug 24North Melbourne19347
18 Aug 24Richmond24093
11 Aug 24Carlton250126
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS14160
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows28244
20 Jul 24Collingwood14415
13 Jul 24Fremantle16142
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats20084
Quick answers:How many disposals does Connor Macdonald average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Handballs 7.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Connor Macdonald (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Macdonald is Over 7.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 23 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.