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AFL

Jack Ginnivan

Hawthorn

+17.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 20.5 -118 (1.85)
+17.0% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value
17.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) Under 20.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jack Ginnivan and the Under 20.5 disposals line, the numbers paint a clear picture. Ginnivan's recent form at home shows an average of 23.2 disposals, but when facing off against Port Adelaide, that number drops to 14.5. His contested possessions sit at 9.4, not quite reaching the line. While his kicking game is strong with an average of 13.6, the pressure from Port Adelaide may limit his time and space. Ginnivan's turnovers have been a concern, averaging 5.2 in his last five home games. With a solid but not exceptional disposal efficiency of 67.7%, there's a chance he may not hit the mark against a tough opponent. Bet wisely on Ginnivan staying under 20.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 17.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Jack Ginnivan is Under 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.