Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
AFL

Jack Ginnivan

Hawthorn

Value call

Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
1.1 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.8% · before adjusting for past results 74.4% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +1.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 5:15 PM AEST
Jack Ginnivan
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ginnivan is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:00PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals74.4%62.8%61.3%1.59+13.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Jack Ginnivan Over 0.5 Goals (-159)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For this bet to work tonight, Jack Ginnivan needs to score at least one goal against the Brisbane Lions. The Lions have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 matches and often leading by big margins. They even average nearly 50 points before half-time, which means they start strong and keep the pressure on. While the Lions are tough, Ginnivan has the skills to find the scoreboard. The most concrete risk is that if the game turns into a blowout, he might not get enough chances to score. Overall, our numbers suggest there's a good chance he'll find the back of the net.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Ginnivan averaged 16.5 disposals, 1.2 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

16.5
Disposals
1.2
Goals
3.9
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jack Ginnivan recorded 9 disposals and 2 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide9234
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs15114
24 Aug 24North Melbourne23223
18 Aug 24Richmond14032
11 Aug 24Carlton18265
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS16041
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows14211
20 Jul 24Collingwood31255
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles21244
15 Jun 24Richmond14180
Quick answers:How many disposals does Jack Ginnivan average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 20.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
15 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ginnivan is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.