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AFL

Blake Hardwick

Hawthorn

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -588 (1.17)
+4.9% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 13 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
90.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
18.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) Over 11.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in a solid player prop bet for the Essendon vs. Hawthorn clash, all signs point towards Blake Hardwick snagging over 11.5 disposals. In his last five away games, Hardwick has been a midfield maestro, averaging a hefty 15.4 disposals. Against Essendon specifically, he's notched up an average of 14.7 disposals in their face-offs. With a current hit streak of 1 and an impressive 82.0% disposal efficiency, Hardwick is poised to dominate the MCG turf. His knack for intercepts (7.4 avg) and meters gained (333.2 avg) further solidify his impact on the game. Backed by his consistent performance and favorable matchup, taking the over on Hardwick's disposals seems like a sure bet for footy fans looking to add some excitement to the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 62.0% (31/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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