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AFL

Blake Hardwick

Hawthorn

+6.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -400 (1.25)
+6.6% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Mon 6 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
86.6%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+6.6%
Predicted Value
18.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) Over 12.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performers, Blake Hardwick of the Hawthorn Hawks stands out like a beacon at the MCG. In his last five home games, he's been a disposal magnet, averaging a solid 18.2 possessions per match. Not only does he find the ball with ease, but his disposalefficiency has been a commendable 78.8%. Against the upcoming opponent, the Geelong Cats, he's been even more prolific, averaging 15 disposals in their recent encounters. With a streak of two games hitting the mark, including one at home, Hardwick is in prime form to surpass the 12.5 disposal line set by sportsbet. The data suggests he's not just a safe bet; he's a prime candidate to snag a big disposal count in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 66.7% (8/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Blake Hardwick (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (8/12). The latest model pick for Blake Hardwick is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks on Monday 6 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.