Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dylan Moore is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:02PM UTC
AFL

Dylan Moore

Hawthorn

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -119 (1.84)
+1.5% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 7 Mar, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
55.9%
Implied Probability
54.3%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
20.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals55.9%—54.3%1.79+1.5%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want reliability and potential upside. Dylan Moore, the young gun from Hawthorn, ticks both boxes. His recent on-field exploits suggest he's primed to make an impact against the GWS Giants. Over his last five away games, Moore has been a midfield maestro, averaging a healthy 18.8 disposals per match. With his knack for finding the footy, coupled with an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.4%, he's a safe bet to surpass the set line of 19.5 disposals. Moore's ability to impact contests with his contested possessions (8 per game) and break lines with his metres gained (273 on average) positions him as a key cog in Hawthorn's engine room. Ride the hot hand and expect Moore to snag a bag full of disposals in this clash.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
60%hit L10 O 15.5
15.8avg disposals L5
Away18.8vs Richmond17.8Season best29
O 13.570%
O 14.560%
O 15.560%
O 16.550%
O 17.540%
O 18.530%
Game log vs line (O 15.5)avg 20.5 · hi 29 · lo 12
26182721192920121716

Dylan Moore has gone over 15.5 disposals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 15.8 disposals, best 29).

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.2avg goals L5
Away1.6vs Richmond0.8Season best5
O 0.550%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)avg 1.2 · hi 4 · lo 0
2101102401

Dylan Moore has gone over 1.5 goals in 3 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.2 goals, best 5).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -119 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dylan Moore is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 March at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks