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AFL

Harry Morrison

Hawthorn

Value call

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $157 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
17.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.9% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 5:15 PM AEST
Harry Morrison
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.70 Odds-175
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:04AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%60.9%63.7%1.64+8.2%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Harry Morrison Over 14.5 Disposals (-175)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn Hawks are facing a tough matchup against Brisbane Lions, who have been strong in recent games. Harry Morrison has shown he can rack up disposals, and our numbers suggest he has a good chance to go over 14.5 in this game. He has been involved a lot, especially with his tackles inside the 50 and clearances, so he should be busy. The biggest risk here is that the game could be tightly contested, which might limit his opportunities. However, with Morrison's solid performance lately, it looks like he can hit that mark if he stays active. Overall, this bet feels promising, but remember, there's no guarantee.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Season averages (2024)

Harry Morrison averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Harry Morrison recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide23025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs22072
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16022
18 Aug 24Richmond14031
11 Aug 24Carlton20143
13 Jul 24Fremantle7031
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7012
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles16092
5 May 24Western Bulldogs11052
28 Apr 24Sydney Swans14061
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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