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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 76%, edge +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:29AM UTC
AFL

Harry Morrison

Hawthorn

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+1.4% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks
UTAS Stadium, Launceston, TAS · Outdoor
Sat 28 Jun, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
18.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.8% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals77.8%—76.3%1.29+1.4%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harry Morrison is poised to shine with a predicted 18.3 disposals, a 1.4% edge, and a solid historical performance. In his last five home games, he has averaged 19.6 disposals, exceeding the 14.5 line comfortably. Against North Melbourne, Morrison's average rises to 20.7 disposals. With consistent contested possessions (6.2), kicks (9.6), and efficient disposal rates (72.4%), he's a reliable choice. His recent form, including 5 out of 6 games hitting this mark at home, further supports this bet. Expect Morrison to maintain his form and surpass the 14.5 disposals threshold when Hawthorn faces North Melbourne at UTAS Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harry Morrison averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Harry Morrison recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide23025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs22072
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16022
18 Aug 24Richmond14031
11 Aug 24Carlton20143
13 Jul 24Fremantle7031
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7012
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles16092
5 May 24Western Bulldogs11052
28 Apr 24Sydney Swans14061
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 28 June at UTAS Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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