Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
AFL

Harry Morrison

Hawthorn

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+1.4% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks
UTAS Stadium, Launceston, TAS · Outdoor
Sat 28 Jun, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.8%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
18.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals77.8%76.3%1.29+1.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harry Morrison is poised to shine with a predicted 18.3 disposals, a 1.4% edge, and a solid historical performance. In his last five home games, he has averaged 19.6 disposals, exceeding the 14.5 line comfortably. Against North Melbourne, Morrison's average rises to 20.7 disposals. With consistent contested possessions (6.2), kicks (9.6), and efficient disposal rates (72.4%), he's a reliable choice. His recent form, including 5 out of 6 games hitting this mark at home, further supports this bet. Expect Morrison to maintain his form and surpass the 14.5 disposals threshold when Hawthorn faces North Melbourne at UTAS Stadium.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15avg disposals recent
Season best26
Disposals last 10avg 15 · hi 23 · lo 7
141116772014162223

Harry Morrison has a disposals high of 26 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 28 June at UTAS Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.