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AFL

Harry Morrison

Hawthorn

Value call

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $157 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
17.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.6% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap -3.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 5:15 PM AEST
Harry Morrison
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.70 Odds-175
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 2, 7:18PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%60.6%63.7%1.65+8.2%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Harry Morrison Over 14.5 Disposals (-175)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn's Harry Morrison has been showing some solid skills on the field lately, making him a player to watch. He tends to rack up disposals, and with a good chance to go over 14.5 in this game against the Brisbane Lions, it seems likely he'll find plenty of opportunities to get the ball. Brisbane can be tough, especially with their strong defense, which makes this bet a bit risky. Still, Morrison's recent form and the way he plays at the MCG give him a good chance to hit that mark. It's not a sure thing, but if he stays in the game, he could very well go over that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Season averages (2024)

Harry Morrison averaged 15.3 disposals, 0.2 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
0.2
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Harry Morrison recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide23025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs22072
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16022
18 Aug 24Richmond14031
11 Aug 24Carlton20143
13 Jul 24Fremantle7031
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats7012
30 Jun 24West Coast Eagles16092
5 May 24Western Bulldogs11052
28 Apr 24Sydney Swans14061
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry Morrison (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Morrison is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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