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AFL

Josh Ward

Hawthorn

+0.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -769 (1.13)
+0.0% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Model Probability
88.5%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value
21.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Ward (Hawthorn) Over 15.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Josh Ward is a prime pick for hitting Over 15.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and Port Adelaide Power. Ward's recent form at home has been nothing short of stellar, averaging a solid 22.6 disposals over his last five games on familiar turf. His ability to find space, demonstrated by an average of 11.4 kicks per game, combined with a knack for contested possessions (7.2 on average), sets him up as a key playmaker. Add in his impressive disposal efficiency (69.0%) and solid metres gained (296.4 on average), and Ward looks poised to make his mark on the game. With recent trends showing him hitting 26 disposals against this opponent in their last encounter, the stage is set for Ward to shine and surpass the 15.5 disposals mark with ease at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 22.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Ward (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Josh Ward is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.