On Saturday 1 August 2026, Hawthorn Hawks play North Melbourne Kangaroos in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 22.5 Disposals, priced at -357 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
When it comes to backing a player to go over 22.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Hawthorn and North Melbourne, Jai Newcombe emerges as a prime candidate. In his last five home games, Newcombe has been a midfield dynamo, averaging a stellar 28 disposals. His recent performances against North Melbourne have also been impressive, averaging 25.5 disposals in these matchups. With a knack for contested possessions (15.2 avg) and a solid disposal efficiency of 68.8%, Newcombe is poised to thrive on familiar turf at University of Tasmania Stadium. Given his current form and the statistical trends pointing towards his consistency, backing Newcombe to surpass 22.5 disposals seems like a smart play with a high probability of hitting the mark.
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 24.5 Disposals (-200)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy punters, let's talk Jai Newcombe for this weekend's clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the North Melbourne Kangaroos at University of Tasmania Stadium. Newcombe, a rising star for the Hawks, is primed to make an impact. In his last five home games, his average disposals clock in at an impressive 28, comfortably surpassing the 24.5 line. Against the Kangaroos specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 25.5 disposals. With his recent form showing a steady hand and a hunger for contested possessions, Newcombe is set to be a pivotal figure in this matchup. Plus, with his current form trending positively, hitting 6 out of his last 8, the odds are looking good for Newcombe to continue his dominance. So, back Newcombe to surpass 24.5 disposals and snag yourself a winning ticket come game day.
Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 23.5 Disposals (-270)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
When it comes to Saturday's clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the North Melbourne Kangaroos, all eyes should be on the tenacious Jai Newcombe. This rising star has been a force to be reckoned with in recent games, boasting an impressive average of 28 disposals per match in his last five home appearances. His ability to win contested possessions, move the ball efficiently, and cover significant ground makes him a key player in Hawthorn's midfield.
Considering Newcombe's recent form and his strong average of 25.5 disposals against the upcoming opponent, a struggling North Melbourne side, it's easy to see why the Over 23.5 disposals bet on him is enticing. With his knack for finding the footy and impacting the game, backing Newcombe to surpass the line at University of Tasmania Stadium seems like a smart play for any footy punter looking to snag a win.
Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: Under 46.5 totals_q3 (-118)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy punters, let's break down why the 'Under 46.5' in the Totals Q3 market for the Hawthorn Hawks vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos clash is the play to watch this weekend.
Hawthorn Hawks have been a defensive force at home, conceding an average of just 76.6 points in their last five games at University of Tasmania Stadium. With an impressive average of 60.6 Inside50s and 29.2 Shotsatgoal per game, they've controlled the play but struggled at times to convert, averaging 13.2 Target Goals.
On the flip side, North Melbourne Kangaroos have found scoring on the road challenging, managing just 70 points per game away from home. Their average of 47.4 Inside50s and 22.8 Shotsatgoal reflects their struggles to penetrate deep into opponents' territory.
Expect a tight defensive battle with both teams likely to struggle to hit the scoreboard consistently, making the under a smart bet to consider.
Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: North Melbourne Kangaroos 10.5 spreads_q3 (-112)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright, footy fans, let's dive into this intriguing clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the North Melbourne Kangaroos. The stage is set at the University of Tasmania Stadium, where the underdog Kangaroos aim to upset the Hawks on their turf.
Hawthorn has been flying high at home, averaging 89.4 points in their last five games, showcasing a potent attack. However, North Melbourne, despite their struggles on the road, has been tightening their defense, conceding an average of 80.2 points overall. With the Hawks averaging 32.4 shots at goal per game and the Kangaroos looking to disrupt their flow with an average of 24.6 shots at goal against, we can expect a fierce battle for scoring opportunities.
Considering Hawthorn's average margin of 12.8 at home and North Melbourne's resilience in limiting points, backing the Kangaroos at +10.5 in the Spreads Q3 market seems like a shrewd play, especially with the potential for a tighter contest than expected.
Hawthorn Hawks vs North Melbourne Kangaroos: North Melbourne Kangaroos 10.5 spreads_q4 (-118)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Alright footy fans, let's dive into this intriguing Hawthorn Hawks versus North Melbourne Kangaroos clash at the University of Tasmania Stadium. The Hawks have been flying high at home lately, averaging 89.4 points per game in their last five home fixtures. They've been sharp in front of goal, bagging an average of 13.2 majors per game.
On the flip side, the Kangaroos have shown resilience on the road, holding their opponents to an average of 80.2 points overall. Despite struggling to convert their opportunities into goals, with an average of 9.6 target goals per game, they've managed to keep games close with a tight defense.
With the Hawks likely to pile on the points but the Kangaroos holding firm defensively, expect a closer contest than the spread suggests. Backing the Kangaroos with a +10.5 buffer seems like a shrewd play here.
That is how our model reads Hawthorn Hawks v North Melbourne Kangaroos. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.