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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cam Mackenzie is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +9.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
AFL

Cam Mackenzie

Hawthorn

+9.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+9.4% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.7%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+9.4%
Predicted Value
22.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.7%61.3%1.41+9.4%

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AI Analysis

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Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Cam Mackenzie stands out like a beacon in the night sky. Mackenzie, the dynamic midfielder for the Hawthorn Hawks, has been on an absolute tear lately. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a whopping 21.8 disposals per game. That's not all – his recent form screams consistency, with an impressive disposal efficiency of 71.2% and an average of 10.4 handballs and 11.4 kicks per game. Facing off against the Brisbane Lions, Mackenzie's recent history against them also supports our case. With his current hot streak of 4 games hitting the mark and a solid hit rate of 7 out of the last 8 away games, the stage is set for Mackenzie to shine once more and easily surpass the 19.5 disposal line. It's a bet that looks as safe as houses.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.8avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 15.8 · hi 23 · lo 9
1615141317179221223

Cam Mackenzie has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 19.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 18.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 17.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
07 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cam Mackenzie is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions on Friday 7 August at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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