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AFL

Cam Mackenzie

Hawthorn

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -476 (1.21)
+0.9% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 30 May, 9:40AM
Model Probability
83.5%
Implied Probability
82.6%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
19.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Cam Mackenzie (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-476)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Cam Mackenzie is poised to shine in the upcoming game based on his recent form. With a model-predicted average of 19.4 disposals and facing an opponent against whom he has averaged 15 disposals in their last five encounters, Mackenzie's consistency in contested possessions, kicks, and meters gained makes him a strong contender to surpass the 14.5 disposal line. His recent performance, averaging 16 disposals away and 14 overall, coupled with a high disposalefficiency of 72.6%, indicates his reliability. The slight model edge of 0.9% further supports this bet, highlighting Mackenzie's potential to deliver on the over in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market for this away game at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (15 picks) 80.0% (12/15)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 May 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
30 May 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
30 May 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
24 May 25 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
24 May 25 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
24 May 25 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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