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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Battle is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 71%, edge +1.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 2:28AM UTC
AFL

Josh Battle

Hawthorn

+1.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+1.8% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.2% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +1.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.2%71.4%1.37+1.8%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Josh Battle Over 16.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers face off against Hawthorn Hawks, and Josh Battle has shown he can really step up in games like this. Our numbers show he's been getting a lot of disposals, and we think he'll go over 16.5 against Hawthorn. He's been hitting that mark consistently, and it looks promising for him. However, the risk is that both teams are closely matched, which sometimes means less time with the ball. Still, with his current form and the way he's been playing lately, we feel confident that he can collect enough disposals to get over that line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Battle averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 7.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
7.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Josh Battle has cleared 12.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o12.5100%
o13.590%
o15.580%
o16.580%
o18.570%
o19.560%
o21.520%
o22.520%
o24.510%
o25.510%
o27.50%
o28.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Josh Battle is averaging 18.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

18.6
Disp · Overall
0.2
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Josh Battle recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton13061
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats16081
11 Aug 24Richmond28092
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions24091
27 Jul 24Essendon19093
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles16161
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows21051
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans17090
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide16060
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions10042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Battle is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.8% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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