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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Battle is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 26, 11:13AM UTC
AFL

Josh Battle

Hawthorn

Value call

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 15.5 that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 7:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
18.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.7% · before adjusting for past results 74.7% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap -12.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.7%61.7%74.6%1.62+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Josh Battle Over 15.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Josh Battle to have over 15.5 disposals look promising. Our numbers show he has a strong chance of hitting that mark, especially since he's been performing well lately. He's been involved in a lot of plays, and his hitout win percentage is way above average, which means he's getting his hands on the ball often. The risk here is that Hawthorn Hawks and Brisbane Lions are pretty evenly matched. If the game is tight, he might not get as many chances to rack up disposals. Still, with how he's been playing, it feels like a solid pick to make for this game at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Battle averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 7.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
7.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Josh Battle recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton13061
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats16081
11 Aug 24Richmond28092
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions24091
27 Jul 24Essendon19093
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles16161
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows21051
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans17090
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide16060
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions10042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Kicks — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Battle is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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