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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Battle is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 72%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:07PM UTC
AFL

Josh Battle

Hawthorn

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+2.3% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 19 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
17.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.8% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.8%—72.5%1.34+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Battle (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Battle is a solid choice for the Over 14.5 disposals bet. His recent form, averaging 17.8 disposals in away games, exceeds the line comfortably. With a high disposalefficiency of 79.3% and averaging 10.4 kicks per game away, he consistently finds the ball effectively. Against Geelong, he maintains a strong average of 15 disposals. His trend is also favorable, hitting 8/8 in away games and boasting a 6-game hit streak overall. The model's prediction of 17.8 disposals further supports his potential to surpass 14.5, with a 2.3% edge indicating value in this wager. With his current form and historical performance against Geelong, Battle is poised to snag enough possessions to clear the line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Battle averaged 17.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 7.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
7.6
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Josh Battle recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton13061
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats16081
11 Aug 24Richmond28092
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions24091
27 Jul 24Essendon19093
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles16161
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows21051
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans17090
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide16060
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions10042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Battle (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Battle is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Geelong Cats on Friday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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