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AFL

Josh Battle

Hawthorn

+4.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -238 (1.42)
+4.4% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Fri 19 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
74.8%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+4.4%
Predicted Value
17.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Battle (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Battle is a solid choice to surpass 14.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. With a model prediction of 17.8 disposals and a strong recent away performance averaging 17.8 disposals over the last 5 games, he's consistently meeting and exceeding this line. His high disposalefficiency (79.3%) and ability to gain meters (303.2 avg) further support his potential to hit this mark. Additionally, Battle's current hit streak of 8 away games and 6 overall, with a perfect hit rate in the last 8 away games and last 6 overall, indicates he's in a reliable form to maintain his disposals output. This consistent performance and recent form make him a favorable choice to go over 14.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 80.0% (40/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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