Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Jai Newcombe Over 9.5 Kicks (-233)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Jai Newcombe to have over 9.5 kicks is looking like a solid pick at these odds. Hawthorn has been getting the ball inside 50 a lot more than their opponents lately, which means more chances for players like Newcombe to rack up kicks. He's on a team that wins the hit-out count by a good margin, so he should see plenty of action on the ground.
On the flip side, Brisbane Lions have been in great form, winning most of their recent games by a big margin. This might mean they control the game, which could limit Hawthorn's scoring chances. Still, with Newcombe's role in the team and the way Hawthorn has been playing, he should get the opportunities he needs to hit that mark.