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Jai Newcombe

Hawthorn

+1.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -833 (1.12)
+1.9% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
91.2%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+1.9%
Predicted Value
23.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 16.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Jai Newcombe for the Hawthorn Hawks is the man to watch. His recent form is as hot as a Melbourne summer's day. Averaging a solid 19.2 disposals over his last five home games, he's been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up possessions and making his mark on the game. Against the upcoming opponent, the Sydney Swans, Newcombe has been even more prolific, notching an impressive 23.5 disposals on average. With an overall hit rate streak of 9 and a current hit streak of 22 at home, Newcombe is a safe bet to surpass the 16.5 disposals line. Get ready to watch him dominate the field at the MCG and snag those crucial possessions that could turn the game in Hawthorn's favor.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 75.0% (9/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 16.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (9/12). The latest model pick for Jai Newcombe is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.