Jai Newcombe (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-244)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jai Newcombe is a solid bet to go Over 19.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. With a model predicting him at 22.4 disposals and a consistent L5 performance averaging 25.2 disposals in away games, Newcombe's recent form is strong. His high disposal efficiency of 73.6% and ability to gain meters (320 avg) further support this bet. Moreover, facing Geelong, where he has averaged 19.3 disposals in L5 games, Newcombe is likely to exceed the 19.5 mark. His current hit streak of 5 and 100% hit rate in the last 5 games add confidence to this wager, making him a reliable choice for reaching his disposal target.