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AFL

Jack Gunston

Hawthorn

+8.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -588 (1.17)
+8.0% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Mon 6 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
93.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
2.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Jack Gunston (Hawthorn) Over 1.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Geelong Cats at the MCG, one player stands out as a prime target for goal-scoring action – Jack Gunston. Gunston, playing at home, has been on a red-hot streak, bagging an impressive average of 4.2 goals in his last five home games. His accuracy near the big sticks has been solid at 62.7%, and with an average of 7 shots at goal per game, he's been a constant threat to opposition defenses. Against the Cats specifically, Gunston has been even more prolific, averaging 1.5 goals against them at home. With a current hit streak of 7 at home and 12 overall, Gunston is in prime form to snag over 1.5 goals in this matchup. Betting on Gunston to deliver the goods seems like a savvy move given his recent form and historical performance against Geelong.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 90.0% (9/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Geelong Cats @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Goals 1.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
24 Aug 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending
07 Aug 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Gunston (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 90.0% (9/10). The latest model pick for Jack Gunston is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks on Monday 6 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.