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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 69%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 26, 9:52AM UTC
AFL

Jarman Impey

Hawthorn

Value call

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: Marks Over 3.5 that pays $145 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 3.5 -222 (1.45) · $100→$145
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 7:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
5.8 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.0% · before adjusting for past results 81.1% · the book's price implies 69.0% · gap 0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks81.1%69.0%69.0%1.45+12.1%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Jarman Impey Over 3.5 Marks (-222)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarman Impey has been shining lately, showing he can grab marks with ease. His recent performances suggest he is likely to snag over 3.5 marks in this game against the Brisbane Lions. The numbers support this pick, showing he's been hitting marks at a rate much higher than usual. One thing to keep in mind is that the Lions can compete well in aerial contests, making it tricky for any player to dominate. Still, with Impey's form and the way he's been playing, this bet feels like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jarman Impey averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

18.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.6
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jarman Impey recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs19031
24 Aug 24North Melbourne23031
18 Aug 24Richmond18074
11 Aug 24Carlton25060
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17024
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20181
20 Jul 24Collingwood13124
13 Jul 24Fremantle17051
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats22045
Quick answers:How many disposals does Jarman Impey average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Marks — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Kicks — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Kicks — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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