Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Jarman Impey

Hawthorn

Value call

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: over 17.5 disposals that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
22.8 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.5% · before adjusting for past results 82.1% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +5.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 5:15 PM AEST
Jarman Impey
over 17.5 disposals
Disposals Over 17.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 68 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.00 Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 68%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.1%67.5%62.5%1.48+19.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Jarman Impey Over 17.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Jarman Impey has been showing some impressive numbers lately, especially in his ability to get involved during games. His stats suggest he usually makes a lot of disposals, and we think he'll go over 17.5 against the Brisbane Lions. The way he plays fits perfectly with this matchup, especially at the MCG, where he often shines. The biggest risk here is that the game could be very close, which might limit his opportunities to get the ball. Still, with how he's been performing, it's likely he'll reach this mark. Overall, betting on Impey to get over 17.5 disposals looks like a solid choice.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jarman Impey averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

18.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.6
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jarman Impey recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs19031
24 Aug 24North Melbourne23031
18 Aug 24Richmond18074
11 Aug 24Carlton25060
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17024
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20181
20 Jul 24Collingwood13124
13 Jul 24Fremantle17051
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats22045
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Kicks — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Marks — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.