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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 69.5 on Fantasy.
On Fantasy, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 76%, edge +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 3, 12:43AM UTC
AFL

Jarman Impey

Hawthorn

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Fantasy Over 69.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+7.6% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
90.9 Fantasy
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.9% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +7.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Fantasy83.9%—76.3%1.19+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Jarman Impey Over 69.5 Fantasy (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Jarman Impey has been on fire lately. He averages over 8 marks and 6 score involvements per game, which shows he's really involved in scoring chances. Also, both Fremantle and Hawthorn have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, meaning they've been playing well and scoring plenty. The risk here is that both teams are fairly close in contested ball stats, which can make things tricky. However, Impey's consistent performance gives us a good shot at hitting over 69.5 fantasy points. If he keeps up his strong play, we could see him easily reach that total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jarman Impey averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.6 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

18.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.6
Marks
2.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jarman Impey has cleared 14.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o14.590%
o15.590%
o17.580%
o19.570%
o21.560%
o23.560%
o25.540%
o26.540%
o28.540%
o30.520%
o32.520%
o34.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jarman Impey is averaging 25.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

25.2
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jarman Impey recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide14025
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs19031
24 Aug 24North Melbourne23031
18 Aug 24Richmond18074
11 Aug 24Carlton25060
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17024
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20181
20 Jul 24Collingwood13124
13 Jul 24Fremantle17051
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats22045
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarman Impey is Over 69.5 on Fantasy. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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