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Model picks & player props
AFL
Optus Stadium, Perth
Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep 2026, 8:10 PM AEST
Hawthorn Hawks
VS
Fremantle Dockers

Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 68 markets for Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers and backs Fremantle Dockers -1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $190.

18
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Fremantle Dockers
to win by 2+ points
Fremantle Dockers -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.01Best price-111
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win71.7%
The price says52.6%

The model graded 68 markets for Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 3 Sep 2026, 8:10 PM AEST at Optus Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Fremantle Dockers -1.5 High72% chance -111
Spread Members only Lean60% chance Members
Total Points Members only High69% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Spread Q3 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Spread Q4 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Spread Q2 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Team Total Points H1 Members only Lean53% chance Members
Team Total Points Q1 Members only Lean48% chance Members
Disposals × 22 props Highup to 88% Members
Fantasy × 5 props Highup to 77% Members
Kicks × 7 props Highup to 82% Members
Marks × 10 props Highup to 82% Members
Goals × 2 props Highup to 77% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Hawthorn Hawks and Fremantle Dockers last met on Thu 3 Sep 2026: Hawthorn Hawks won 72-40. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Fremantle Dockers
-16.5
+ 17 more markets
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All 18 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,068+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Hawthorn HawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Hawthorn HawksSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Hawks

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Dockers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Michael Frederick Fremantle Disposals
Patrick Voss Fremantle Disposals
Mabior Chol Hawthorn Disposals
Connor Macdonald Hawthorn Disposals
Nathan O'Driscoll Fremantle Disposals

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers — what the model found

Our model graded 68 betting markets for Hawthorn Hawks at Fremantle Dockers — 18 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 68 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 67 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers — model preview

Fremantle Dockers v Hawthorn Hawks, 3 September 2026. Top of the list: Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over.

On Thursday 3 September 2026, Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over, priced at -154 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over (-154)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Hawthorn Hawks in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Jarman Impey (Hawthorn) Over 79.5 player_afl_fantasy_points_over. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Hawks vs Dockers, or as Dockers vs Hawks. The most recent game between them was Thursday 3 September 2026 at Optus Stadium. The model has generated 18 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Hawthorn Hawks 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Thu 3 Sep 2026, Hawthorn Hawks at Fremantle Dockers: Hawthorn Hawks won 72-40.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Sep 2026Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers40–72Hawthorn Hawks
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