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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:12PM UTC
AFL

Andrew Brayshaw

Fremantle

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 23.5 -286 (1.35)
+0.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
74.4%
Implied Probability
74.1%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
26.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.4%—74.1%1.34+0.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) Over 23.5 Disposals (-286)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass the 23.5 disposals line, Andrew Brayshaw stands out as a prime candidate in the clash between the Fremantle Dockers and the Port Adelaide Power. Brayshaw's recent form paints a picture of consistency and hunger for possessions. In his last five away games, he's notched an impressive average of 24.8 disposals, including a solid 25.4 against Port Adelaide specifically. His ability to find the footy is further highlighted by his averages of 13.4 handballs and 11.4 kicks per game outside his home turf. With Brayshaw's knack for generating metres gained (432.2 on average) and maintaining a high disposal efficiency of 77.8%, the stage is set for him to thrive in this matchup. It's not just a bet; it's an opportunity to ride Brayshaw's hot streak and back his capacity to dominate the midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs Port AdelaideO 21.5 -588+0.0% edge
100%hit L10 O 21.5
28.2avg disposals L5
Away24.8vs Port Adelaide25.4Season best41
O 19.5100%
O 20.5100%
O 21.5100%
O 22.580%
O 23.580%
O 24.560%
Game log vs line (O 21.5)9 / 10 hit
32243523413633204133

Andrew Brayshaw has gone over 21.5 disposals in 10 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 28.2 disposals, best 41). Current line: Over 21.5 at -588, model edge +0.0%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 23.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 22.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 21.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 18 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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