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Andrew Brayshaw

Fremantle

Value call

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 9.5 kicks that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
11.7 kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.1% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +4.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Andrew Brayshaw
over 9.5 kicks
Kicks Over 9.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.70 Odds-213
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:07PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks72.1%—68.0%1.39+4.1%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Andrew Brayshaw Over 9.5 Kicks (-213)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Andrew Brayshaw has been a solid performer lately, and he's been getting a lot of kicks. Fremantle tends to get the ball inside 50 more often than their opponents, which means Brayshaw will likely have plenty of chances to rack up those kicks. Plus, he's been a key part of their play, and with Fremantle needing to keep the pressure on the Brisbane Lions, he should see the ball a lot. The only real concern here is that Fremantle has struggled with contested ball lately, meaning they might not always have the upper hand. Still, our numbers suggest Brayshaw has a good chance to hit over 9.5 kicks in this match. With the way he's been playing, it's worth a shot!

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Andrew Brayshaw averaged 29.1 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

29.1
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.3
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Andrew Brayshaw has cleared 19.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o19.5100%
o20.590%
o22.580%
o24.560%
o26.540%
o27.530%
o29.520%
o31.50%
o33.50%
o34.50%
o36.50%
o38.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Andrew Brayshaw is averaging 26.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

26.2
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Andrew Brayshaw recorded 33 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide33077
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS41034
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats20063
4 Aug 24Essendon33065
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles36127
21 Jul 24Melbourne41033
13 Jul 24Hawthorn23136
6 Jul 24Richmond35188
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans24043
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS32158
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 2.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Kicks 9.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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