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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 72%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 27, 5:11AM UTC
AFL

Andrew Brayshaw

Fremantle

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Kicks Over 9.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+0.2% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
11.7 Kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.2% · the book's price implies 71.9% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks72.2%60.4%71.9%1.65+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) Over 9.5 player_kicks_over (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to counting on a player to deliver kicks, Andrew Brayshaw stands out as a reliable choice. Heading into the clash against Carlton at Marvel Stadium, Brayshaw's average sits comfortably above the set line at 11.7 kicks per game. Despite the modest standard deviation of 3.8, suggesting a relatively consistent performance, the model projects Brayshaw to maintain his kicking prowess. With a slight edge in our favor and an implied probability of 71.9%, the stars seem aligned for Brayshaw to surpass the 9.5-kick mark. His ability to find space and impact the game through his kicking efficiency makes this prop a tantalizing prospect. So, back Brayshaw to rack up the kicks and play a pivotal role for the Fremantle Dockers in this weekend's showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Andrew Brayshaw averaged 29.1 disposals, 0.3 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

29.1
Disposals
0.3
Goals
4.3
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Andrew Brayshaw recorded 33 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide33077
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS41034
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats20063
4 Aug 24Essendon33065
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles36127
21 Jul 24Melbourne41033
13 Jul 24Hawthorn23136
6 Jul 24Richmond35188
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans24043
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS32158
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 21.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 22.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Carlton Blues Kicks Pending
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues on Saturday 22 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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