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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 2:13AM UTC
AFL

Andrew Brayshaw

Fremantle

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -588 (1.17)
+0.0% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.5%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value
26.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals85.5%85.5%1.17+0.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) Over 21.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistency and impact, Andrew Brayshaw stands out as a reliable force in the midfield. In his last 5 away games, he's been a possession machine, averaging a hefty 26.4 disposals with a stellar disposal efficiency of 80.2%. Facing Melbourne, a team he's historically performed well against, Brayshaw has upped his game even further with an average of 28.8 disposals in their recent encounters. With a current hit streak of 6 in away games and a flawless 14/14 hit rate overall, Brayshaw's ability to find the ball, make smart decisions, and cover ground efficiently make the Over 21.5 disposals line a tantalizing proposition. Expect him to thrive in the contested battles and deliver another strong performance at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs Melbourne DemonsO 23.5 -286
80%hit L10 O 23.5
25avg disposals L5
Away26.4vs Melbourne33.4Season best41
O 21.5100%
O 22.590%
O 23.580%
O 24.570%
O 25.540%
O 26.540%
Game log vs line (O 23.5)8 / 10 hit
32243523413633204133

Andrew Brayshaw has gone over 23.5 disposals in 8 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 25 disposals, best 41). Current line: Over 23.5 at -286.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 21.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 22.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Brayshaw is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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