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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 81%, for a model edge of +8.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 8:22AM UTC
AFL

Jye Amiss

Fremantle

+8.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -417 (1.24)
+8.1% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 3:15AM
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Model Probability
88.7%
Implied Probability
80.6%
Model Edge
+8.1%
Predicted Value
2.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals88.7%80.6%1.13+8.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 1.5 Goals (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between Port Adelaide and Fremantle, all eyes are on Jye Amiss to shine away from home. Amiss has been in red-hot form, averaging 1.8 goals per game in his last five outings, including a solid 1-goal average against Port in away games. His accuracy stands at 48.0%, showcasing his ability to make every opportunity count. With an average of 4.2 shots on goal per game and 3.2 marks inside 50, Amiss is a constant threat in the forward line. His recent 5.4 score involvements per game highlight his crucial role in Fremantle's attacking plays. Amiss is primed to snag a couple more goals, making the Over 1.5 goals bet a tantalizing prospect for punters.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs Port AdelaideO 1.5 -417+8.1% edge
70%hit L10 O 1.5
1.8avg goals L5
Away1.8vs Port Adelaide0.8Season best4
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)3 / 10 hit
0311414111

Jye Amiss has gone over 1.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 1.8 goals, best 4). Current line: Over 1.5 at -417, model edge +8.1%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 1.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 1.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 18 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.