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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +17.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 9:56AM UTC
AFL

Jye Amiss

Fremantle

+17.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -250 (1.40)
+17.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.7%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+17.3%
Predicted Value
2.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals88.7%71.4%1.13+17.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 1.5 Goals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Jye Amiss is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Fremantle and Melbourne. Amiss has been on fire recently, averaging a solid 2.6 goals per game in his last five away matches. His accuracy in front of goal sits at an impressive 59.4%, showcasing his ability to make every opportunity count. Facing Melbourne, Amiss has historically performed even better, averaging 3.3 goals per game against them in his last five away fixtures. With a knack for getting involved in scoring plays, averaging 6.6 score involvements, and a consistent track record of hitting the scoreboard, Jye Amiss is primed to surpass the 1.5 goal mark set by the bookies. Get on board with Amiss to light up the MCG and back him to kick Over 1.5 goals in this showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs Melbourne DemonsO 1.5 -233
70%hit L10 O 1.5
2.4avg goals L5
Away2.6vs Melbourne2.8Season best4
O 0.590%
O 1.570%
O 2.550%
O 3.540%
O 4.510%
Game log vs line (O 1.5)3 / 10 hit
0311414111

Jye Amiss has gone over 1.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2.4 goals, best 4). Current line: Over 1.5 at -233.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 1.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 1.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Goals 1.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
09 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals Pending
10 Apr 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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