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AFL

Jye Amiss

Fremantle

Value call

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $112 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
2.2 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 77.1% · before adjusting for past results 89.5% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap -12.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Jye Amiss
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
Value call
HIGHWins about 77 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.20 Odds-833
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 89%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals89.5%77.1%89.3%1.30+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Jye Amiss Over 0.5 Goals (-833)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

At the MCG, Jye Amiss has a solid chance to score at least one goal against the Brisbane Lions. Our numbers suggest he's a strong favorite to get on the scoreboard, especially since he usually produces more goals than the average player in games like this. The main risk here is the close matchup, as both teams can be tough defensively. However, Amiss's ability to find opportunities makes this bet worth considering. With the odds looking good, it's reasonable to think he'll find a way to get that goal.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Season averages (2024)

Jye Amiss averaged 8.1 disposals, 1.6 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

8.1
Disposals
1.6
Goals
3.7
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Goals Scored

Jye Amiss has cleared 0.5 goals scored in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o0.590%
o1.560%
o2.540%
o3.540%
o4.530%
o5.50%
o6.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jye Amiss is averaging 7.2 disposals per game over his last 5 and 7.8 in home games, including his recent form against Brisbane Lions.

7.2
Disp · Overall
7.8
Disp · Home
7.6
Disp · vs Brisbane Lions
2.8
Goals · Overall
2.6
Goals · Home
2.0
Goals · vs Brisbane Lions

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jye Amiss recorded 5 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide5110
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS13170
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats9151
4 Aug 24Essendon7451
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles9132
21 Jul 24Melbourne8460
13 Jul 24Hawthorn11142
6 Jul 24Richmond11142
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans10362
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS6040
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 2.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 1.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
24 Jul 26 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
18 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jye Amiss is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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