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Model picks & player props
Geelong Cats
VS
Fremantle Dockers

Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 26, 8:35AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers and backs Fremantle Dockers -10.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $190.

AFL
Optus Stadium, Perth
Outdoor
Fri 11 Sep 2026, 10:10AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Fremantle Dockers -10.5 Spread -111

The model graded 70 markets for Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 11 Sep 2026, 10:10AM at Optus Stadium.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win60.3%
The price says52.6%
Best price-111
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Fremantle Dockers -10.5 High60% chance -111
Spread Members only Lean59% chance Members
Spread Q2 Members only Lean52% chance Members
Spread Q3 Members only Lean52% chance Members
Spread Q4 Members only Lean52% chance Members
Team Total Points H1 Members only Lean52% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Team Total Points Q1 Members only Lean48% chance Members
Disposals × 22 props Highup to 99% Members
Marks × 12 props Highup to 91% Members
Goals × 5 props Highup to 88% Members
Kicks × 4 props Highup to 97% Members
Handballs × 3 props Highup to 87% Members
Tackles × 2 props Highup to 74% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Geelong Cats and Fremantle Dockers last met on Fri 11 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every AFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Fremantle Dockers -10.5 · $100 returned $190

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Fremantle Dockers
-10.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Geelong CatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Geelong CatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Geelong CatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cats

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Dockers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Max Holmes Geelong Cats Disposals
Karl Worner Fremantle Disposals
Luke Jackson Fremantle Disposals
Patrick Voss Fremantle Marks
Oisin Mullin Geelong Cats Disposals

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Geelong Cats at Fremantle Dockers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers — recent results

Fremantle Dockers have won 0 of their last 0 games; Geelong Cats have won 4 of their last 5.

Geelong Cats — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L106–120FREAway
W107–74CARLHome
W133–76RICHHome
W125–110NMFCAway
W117–50ESSHome

Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers — model preview

Fremantle Dockers v Geelong Cats, 11 September 2026. Top of the list: Tanner Bruhn (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 player_kicks_over. Here is why, in plain English.

On September 11, 2026 our model has run Geelong Cats at Fremantle Dockers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Fremantle Dockers -9.5 Spread (-111), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
11 Sep 26 Spread Fremantle Dockers -10.5 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Spread Fremantle Dockers -9.5 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Spread Fremantle Dockers -8.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Geelong Cats vs Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Cats vs Dockers, or as Dockers vs Cats. The most recent game between them was Friday 11 September 2026 at Optus Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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