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AFL

Josh Treacy

Fremantle

+2.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+2.5% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 20 Jul, 5:15AM
Model Probability
87.3%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

AI Analysis

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Josh Treacy (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Treacy's recent form and matchup history suggest he's poised to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Collingwood. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games and solid shot accuracy, Treacy is a consistent threat in front of goal. Facing Collingwood, against whom he has scored an average of 3 goals in their last five encounters, further boosts his potential. His involvement in scoring plays, coupled with his average of 1.4 shots on goal per game, indicates he's regularly in dangerous positions. Given the model's prediction of 1.4 goals for Treacy and the implied probability of 84.7%, betting on him to score anytime is a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 54.0% (27/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✗ MISS
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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