Corey Wagner (Fremantle) Under 17.5 Disposals (-128)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Corey Wagner is likely to stay under 17.5 disposals based on his recent form. Despite averaging 14.6 disposals in his last five home games, he faces Hawthorn, against whom he only averages 15.5 disposals. With a model prediction of 14.3 disposals and a standard deviation of 5, indicating consistency, Wagner's recent performances show lower numbers, making the under 17.5 a solid bet. His current hit rate at home is 8/12, suggesting variability but also room for potential consistency. Additionally, with his overall hit rate at 3/4 in recent games, the odds are favorable for Wagner to continue his trend of falling short of the 17.5 line.