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The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:07PM UTC
AFL

Isaiah Dudley

Fremantle

Value call

Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) has one live pick today: Marks Over 1.5 that pays $132 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
2.9 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.0% · before adjusting for past results 76.9% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap -10.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks76.9%65.0%75.8%1.54+1.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Isaiah Dudley Over 1.5 Marks (-312)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For Isaiah Dudley to get more than 1.5 marks tonight, he needs to be involved in the game and make some catches. The Sydney Swans have been playing really well lately, winning 7 of their last 10 matches and scoring an average of 57.3 points before half-time. This strong performance can help Dudley get opportunities to mark the ball. While Fremantle has also won 7 of their last 10 games and is doing well, they average fewer points before half-time compared to Sydney. This could mean more chances for Dudley as the Swans push for a strong start. Still, with the Swans' momentum, Dudley looks like a solid bet to go over 1.5 marks.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Isaiah Dudley has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.570%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.540%
o13.540%
o14.530%
o15.520%
o16.510%
o17.510%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Isaiah Dudley is averaging 11.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.6
Disp · Overall
1.6
Goals · Overall
Quick answers:How many disposals does Isaiah Dudley average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Tackles — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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