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Isaiah Dudley

Fremantle

Value call

Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 1.5 marks that pays $143 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
2.8 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.4% · before adjusting for past results 77.0% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap -5.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Isaiah Dudley
over 1.5 marks
Marks Over 1.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.30 Odds-233
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 10:58PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.0%64.4%69.9%1.55+7.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Isaiah Dudley Over 1.5 Marks (-233)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Tonight, Isaiah Dudley needs to get more than 1.5 marks for this bet to win. Fremantle has been getting the ball inside 50 more often than Brisbane, which gives Dudley more chances to mark the ball. He's playing at home, and Fremantle's rucks have been winning a lot of tap-outs, so Dudley should have plenty of opportunities to get his hands on the footy. However, the risk here is that Brisbane has been pretty good at winning contested balls, which might limit his chances. Still, with Fremantle's strong home performance and Dudley's potential in this matchup, it looks promising for him to get those marks tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Isaiah Dudley has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.570%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.540%
o13.540%
o14.530%
o15.520%
o16.510%
o17.510%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Isaiah Dudley is averaging 11.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.6
Disp · Overall
1.6
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 9.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 1.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Tackles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Dudley (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Dudley is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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