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Fremantle Dockers
VS
Port Adelaide Power

Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 2, 11:27PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul 2026, 3:15AM
20
Game Picks
7
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 172.5 (Total Points)
For Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power (AFL), model win probability 68.0%, fair odds 1.47, book price -114, model edge +14.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 18 Jul 2026, 3:15AM at Adelaide Oval.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Points
Under
170.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dockers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Power

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Luke Ryan Fremantle Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jye Amiss Fremantle Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Michael Frederick Fremantle Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Darcy Byrne-Jones Port Adelaide Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Willem Drew Port Adelaide Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Port Adelaide Power playing Fremantle Dockers. Includes analysis on key players like Jye Amiss. Analysis includes AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers stats and odds.</p>

Jye Amiss (Fremantle) Over 1.5 Goals (-435)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jye Amiss' recent form, it's clear he's a genuine threat in front of goal. Over his last five away games, he's been finding the big sticks consistently, averaging 1.8 goals per game. Amiss isn't just a one-dimensional forward either; he's involved in the play with an average of 5.4 score involvements in those games. Facing Port Adelaide, a team where he's historically bagged an average of 1 goal per game in his last five matchups, sets the stage for another impactful performance. With the betting line set at 1.5 goals, Amiss seems poised to continue his scoring streak and potentially snag a couple to help the Fremantle Dockers light up the scoreboard at Adelaide Oval.

Willem Drew (Port Adelaide) Over 16.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to shine in the disposals department, Willem Drew stands out for the Port Adelaide Power against the Fremantle Dockers at Adelaide Oval. Drew's recent form at home has been solid, averaging 15.2 disposals over the last five games, including a 17.2 disposal average against the same opponent. His ability to find the footy both in contested situations and uncontested play gives him versatility on the field. With an average of 8.6 contested possessions and 7.2 uncontested possessions in his last five home games, Drew can navigate traffic and create space effectively. His disposal efficiency at 67.3% showcases his ability to make the most of his possessions. The model predicting him to hit 19.7 disposals further supports the case for backing Drew to surpass the 16.5 disposal line set by the bookmakers. In a game where possessions are key, Drew's recent performances make him a prime candidate to rack up the numbers.

Willem Drew (Port Adelaide) Over 15.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Willem Drew, the midfield maestro for Port Adelaide, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against Fremantle at the iconic Adelaide Oval. Drew's recent form at home showcases his ability to impact the game with an average of 15.2 disposals per match, comfortably surpassing the set line of 15.5. With his knack for finding the footy evidenced by 9.4 kicks and 5.8 handballs on average in his last five home games, Drew is a pivotal figure in Port's possession game. Moreover, his consistent performance against Fremantle, averaging 17.2 disposals in their last five encounters, further cements his reliability. Combine this with his impressive 71.3% disposal efficiency and significant metres gained per game, and it's evident that Drew is primed to not only meet but exceed the line. Betting on Drew to go over 15.5 disposals is a wager backed by his track record and current form, making it a compelling option for footy punters.

Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers : Under 85.5 totals_h2 (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

In this clash between Port Adelaide Power and Fremantle Dockers, the numbers paint a clear picture for a low-scoring affair. Port Adelaide, despite showing defensive resilience with an average of 73.4 points against in their last five outings, has struggled to find scoring consistency, netting just 73.8 points on average. Their home form mirrors this trend, with an average of 75.2 points for but only 10.8 target goals per game. On the other side, Fremantle's solid defensive record of 64.2 points against overall, coupled with their ability to limit their opponents to just 73.4 points in away games, sets the stage for a defensive battle. Although the Dockers have been potent in attack, averaging 103.4 points overall and 110.4 points when playing away, Port Adelaide's defensive structure at home could stifle their scoring opportunities. Expect a gritty, low-scoring contest at Adelaide Oval, making the 'Under 85.5' in the Totals H2 market a prudent bet.

Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers : Under 85.5 totals_h1 (-119)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Picture this clash at the Adelaide Oval – Port Adelaide Power hosting the Fremantle Dockers. Looking at the recent stats, Port Adelaide has been solid defensively in their last 5 home games, conceding an average of 74.4 points. Their average shots at goal stand at 26.4, suggesting a disciplined approach but a slight struggle to convert opportunities into goals. On the other side, the Dockers have been firing away from home, averaging a strong 110.4 points in their last 5 away matches. However, their accuracy could be tighter, as they average 8.4 behinds per game. With the line set at 85.5, considering Port's defensive resilience and Fremantle's slightly erratic accuracy, the Under looks like a shrewd play for the first half total points. Expect a tough, low-scoring battle early on.

Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers : Under 43.5 totals_q3 (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the recent form of Port Adelaide Power and Fremantle Dockers, it's clear that both teams have shown a tendency towards lower scoring third quarters. Port Adelaide, in their last five home games, has limited opponents to an average of 74.4 points against, while also conceding just 10.4 team behinds on average. Their ability to restrict the opposition's scoring opportunities is evident, with 49.6 inside 50s against them on average. Fremantle, on the other hand, has been solid defensively on the road, allowing only 73.4 points against in their last five away games. With their opponents managing just 8.4 team behinds on average during this period, it's clear that Fremantle's defense has been resolute away from home. Considering these defensive trends, betting on the 'Under 43.5' in the third quarter totals market seems like a logical play for this matchup at Adelaide Oval.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 Jul 26 Total Points Under 170.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Total Points Under 171.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Total Points Under 172.5 ✗ MISS
18 Jul 26 Team Total Points Q1 Over 14.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 18 July 2026 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 20 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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