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Model picks & player props
Fremantle Dockers
VS
Gold Coast Suns

Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:21AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Outdoor
Sat 31 May 2025, 3:20AM
2
Game Picks
18
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Fremantle Dockers (Head to Head)
For Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns (AFL), model win probability 38.9%, fair odds 2.57, book price +203, model edge +5.9%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 31 May 2025, 3:20AM at People First Stadium.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Head to Head
Fremantle Dockers
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Fremantle DockersHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Gold Coast SunsHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dockers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Suns

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Noah Anderson Gold Coast SUNS Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Patrick Voss Fremantle Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jeremy Sharp Fremantle Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Michael Frederick Fremantle Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Murphy Reid Fremantle Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Fremantle Dockers @ Gold Coast Suns — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like John Noble. Check out AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers stats and odds.</p>

John Noble (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-526)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

John Noble is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Fremantle at People First Stadium. With a model predicting him for 25.9 disposals and a 5.9% edge, Noble's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 25.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. His consistency is evident with a 100% hit rate in home games and a 9-game streak overall. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 19.7 disposals in his last five matchups, Noble is poised to maintain his high possession rate. Additionally, his strong metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further strengthen the rationale for backing him to surpass 19.5 disposals.

Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jed Walter is a strong bet to score anytime in the Gold Coast Suns vs. Fremantle Dockers game. With a model predicting 1.1 goals for him and recent form averaging 1.2 goals in his last five home games, Walter's consistent goal-scoring ability is evident. His high score involvements (3.4) and shots at goal (2.4) further support this bet, showcasing his active involvement in the Suns' attacking plays. Additionally, facing Fremantle at home provides Walter with a favorable opportunity to continue his scoring streak. Walter's proficiency near the goal, coupled with his recent performance metrics, makes him a reliable choice for this anytime goal scorer bet.

Touk Miller (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Touk Miller is a solid bet for the Over 19.5 disposals against Fremantle based on his recent form. With an L5 average of 24.6 disposals in home games and a strong hit rate, he consistently exceeds the set line. Against Fremantle, he averages 27 disposals at home and 28.8 overall, showing he performs well against this opponent. Miller's high disposalefficiency and involvement in contested possessions increase his chances of meeting the line. His excellent form, including a current hit streak of 7 at home and 12 overall, further supports the prediction of him surpassing 19.5 disposals. These stats indicate a high probability of success, making this bet a favorable choice for AFL bettors.

Bodhi Uwland (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bodhi Uwland has been consistent in his last 5 home games, averaging 18.6 disposals with a high disposalefficiency of 91.2%. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 15 disposals, Uwland is likely to maintain his performance. With a model predicting 17.4 disposals and a 2.1% edge, Uwland's recent form supports taking the over on his 14.5 disposal line. Additionally, Uwland is on a hit streak, achieving 6 consecutive successful games and 3 at home, indicating strong form and reliability, further strengthening the rationale for this bet.

Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-417)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matthew Johnson is poised to excel against the Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to achieve 19.1 disposals, a significant edge is noted. In his last five away games, Johnson has averaged 16.4 disposals, surpassing the 14.5 line comfortably. His consistent performance in contested possessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained indicates his ability to meet or exceed this mark. Additionally, his upward trend in overall disposals (21 avg) and the opponent's vulnerability to allowing disposals (15 avg) further support this bet. Johnson's recent form and matchup dynamics suggest a strong likelihood of him exceeding 14.5 disposals in this matchup.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 31 May 2025 at People First Stadium. The model has generated 2 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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