John Noble is a solid bet to go over 19.5 disposals against Fremantle at People First Stadium. With a model predicting him for 25.9 disposals and a 5.9% edge, Noble's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 25.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. His consistency is evident with a 100% hit rate in home games and a 9-game streak overall. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 19.7 disposals in his last five matchups, Noble is poised to maintain his high possession rate. Additionally, his strong metrics in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further strengthen the rationale for backing him to surpass 19.5 disposals.
Jed Walter (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jed Walter is a strong bet to score anytime in the Gold Coast Suns vs. Fremantle Dockers game. With a model predicting 1.1 goals for him and recent form averaging 1.2 goals in his last five home games, Walter's consistent goal-scoring ability is evident. His high score involvements (3.4) and shots at goal (2.4) further support this bet, showcasing his active involvement in the Suns' attacking plays. Additionally, facing Fremantle at home provides Walter with a favorable opportunity to continue his scoring streak. Walter's proficiency near the goal, coupled with his recent performance metrics, makes him a reliable choice for this anytime goal scorer bet.
Touk Miller (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 19.5 Disposals (-556)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Touk Miller is a solid bet for the Over 19.5 disposals against Fremantle based on his recent form. With an L5 average of 24.6 disposals in home games and a strong hit rate, he consistently exceeds the set line. Against Fremantle, he averages 27 disposals at home and 28.8 overall, showing he performs well against this opponent. Miller's high disposalefficiency and involvement in contested possessions increase his chances of meeting the line. His excellent form, including a current hit streak of 7 at home and 12 overall, further supports the prediction of him surpassing 19.5 disposals. These stats indicate a high probability of success, making this bet a favorable choice for AFL bettors.
Bodhi Uwland (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Bodhi Uwland has been consistent in his last 5 home games, averaging 18.6 disposals with a high disposalefficiency of 91.2%. Facing Fremantle, against whom he averages 15 disposals, Uwland is likely to maintain his performance. With a model predicting 17.4 disposals and a 2.1% edge, Uwland's recent form supports taking the over on his 14.5 disposal line. Additionally, Uwland is on a hit streak, achieving 6 consecutive successful games and 3 at home, indicating strong form and reliability, further strengthening the rationale for this bet.
Matthew Johnson (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-417)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Matthew Johnson is poised to excel against the Gold Coast Suns based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to achieve 19.1 disposals, a significant edge is noted. In his last five away games, Johnson has averaged 16.4 disposals, surpassing the 14.5 line comfortably. His consistent performance in contested possessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained indicates his ability to meet or exceed this mark. Additionally, his upward trend in overall disposals (21 avg) and the opponent's vulnerability to allowing disposals (15 avg) further support this bet. Johnson's recent form and matchup dynamics suggest a strong likelihood of him exceeding 14.5 disposals in this matchup.