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Model picks & player props
West Coast Eagles
VS
Fremantle Dockers

West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:28PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Optus Stadium, Perth
Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul 2026, 10:10AM
20
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: West Coast Eagles 11.5 (Spread Q3)
The model graded 35 markets for West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $182 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 74.9%, fair odds 1.34, book price -122, model edge +19.9%. Tip-off Fri 24 Jul 2026, 10:10AM at Optus Stadium.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Under 43.5 · $100 returned $189

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread Q3
West Coast Eagles
11.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
West Coast EaglesSpread Q3Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
West Coast EaglesSpread Q2Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total Points Q1Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q4Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q2Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Fremantle DockersSpread Q4Positive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Eagles

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Dockers

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jack Graham West Coast Eagles Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jake Waterman West Coast Eagles Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Lindsay West Coast Eagles Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tim Kelly West Coast Eagles Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Elliot Yeo West Coast Eagles Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers — what the model found

Our model graded 35 betting markets for West Coast Eagles at Fremantle Dockers — 20 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 35 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers — recent results

Fremantle Dockers have won 0 of their last 0 games; West Coast Eagles have won 0 of their last 3.

West Coast Eagles — last 3
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L98–117COLLHome
L73–84RICHAway
L73–74NMFCAway

West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers — model preview

Expert analysis and top betting picks for Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles. Includes analysis on key players like Tim Kelly. Discover AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles stats and odds.

Tim Kelly (West Coast Eagles) Over 20.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

As the West Coast Eagles hit the road to take on the Fremantle Dockers at Optus Stadium, all eyes are on the midfield maestro, Tim Kelly. In his last five away clashes, Kelly has been a disposal magnet, averaging a hefty 22.4 disposals per game. What's even more impressive is his recent form against Fremantle, where he's been relentless, averaging 24.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With a solid contested possession game and sharp disposal efficiency of 67.2%, Kelly is a linchpin in the Eagles' midfield setup. His ability to rack up the numbers consistently, paired with his knack for finding space and creating scoring opportunities, makes him a prime candidate to surpass the 20.5 disposal line. Bet confidently on Kelly to weave his magic through the midfield and rack up the possessions in this Western Derby showdown.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
8
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
24 Jul 26 Team Total Points Q1 Over 15.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Team Total Points Q1 Over 14.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Q4 Fremantle Dockers -11.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Q4 Fremantle Dockers -10.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Q3 West Coast Eagles 11.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Spread Q2 West Coast Eagles 10.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Q2 Fremantle Dockers -10.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Spread Q2 Fremantle Dockers -11.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Eagles vs Dockers, or as Dockers vs Eagles. The most recent game between them was Friday 24 July 2026 at Optus Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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