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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Clark is Under 23.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +18.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:09PM UTC
AFL

Jordan Clark

Fremantle

+18.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+18.9% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
72.1%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+18.9%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.1%53.2%1.39+18.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Under 23.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jordan Clark's recent form, he's been a linchpin for the Dockers with an average of 22 disposals over his last five away games. However, facing off against the tough Melbourne midfield at the MCG, where he averages 21 disposals against them, might prove challenging. With a model predicting him at 20.6 disposals and a solid 83.8% disposal efficiency, Clark could find it tough to hit the 23.5 line. Even though he's been in good touch with a 5-game streak, including hitting this line in the previous 3 away games, the pressure from Melbourne's contested possession game and his historical averages against them suggest he might fall just short this time. Betting on the under for Jordan Clark seems like a prudent move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
22.5avg disposals recent
Season best36
Disposals last 10avg 22.5 · hi 29 · lo 17
17232620232429281718

Jordan Clark has a disposals high of 36 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 23.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Clark is Under 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.9% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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