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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Clark is Under 23.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 53%, edge +18.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 1:58AM UTC
AFL

Jordan Clark

Fremantle

+18.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 23.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+18.9% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
20.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +18.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.1%53.2%1.39+18.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jordan Clark (Fremantle) Under 23.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Jordan Clark's recent form, he's been a linchpin for the Dockers with an average of 22 disposals over his last five away games. However, facing off against the tough Melbourne midfield at the MCG, where he averages 21 disposals against them, might prove challenging. With a model predicting him at 20.6 disposals and a solid 83.8% disposal efficiency, Clark could find it tough to hit the 23.5 line. Even though he's been in good touch with a 5-game streak, including hitting this line in the previous 3 away games, the pressure from Melbourne's contested possession game and his historical averages against them suggest he might fall just short this time. Betting on the under for Jordan Clark seems like a prudent move here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jordan Clark averaged 24.7 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.7
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jordan Clark recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide18027
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17036
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats281104
4 Aug 24Essendon29061
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles24044
21 Jul 24Melbourne23151
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20095
6 Jul 24Richmond26072
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans23062
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17076
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 23.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 19.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 18.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Clark is Under 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.9% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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