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AFL

Jordan Clark

Fremantle

Value call

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 20.5 disposals that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
24.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.2% · before adjusting for past results 72.8% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap -5.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Jordan Clark
over 20.5 disposals
Disposals Over 20.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 6:44PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.8%48.2%53.5%1.96+19.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Jordan Clark Over 20.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Jordan Clark to have over 20.5 disposals look promising. Fremantle has been getting the ball inside 50 more often than Brisbane, which means Clark should have plenty of chances to get his hands on the ball. Plus, Fremantle's rucks are winning the hit-out count by a solid margin, giving Clark more opportunities to receive the ball from the midfield. One risk here is that Fremantle has been losing contested ball on average, which might limit how much they control the game. Still, with their current form and Clark's role, a good chance lies in his ability to reach that disposals mark. It's a bet worth considering for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jordan Clark averaged 24.7 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.7
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jordan Clark has cleared 15.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o15.5100%
o16.5100%
o18.590%
o19.580%
o21.560%
o22.550%
o24.530%
o26.510%
o27.510%
o29.510%
o30.510%
o32.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jordan Clark is averaging 25.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

25.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jordan Clark recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide18027
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17036
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats281104
4 Aug 24Essendon29061
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles24044
21 Jul 24Melbourne23151
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20095
6 Jul 24Richmond26072
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans23062
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17076
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 3.5 Over -179 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Fantasy — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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