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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 89%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 4:05PM UTC
AFL

Jordan Clark

Fremantle

Value call

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) has one live pick today: Kicks Over 9.5 that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Kicks Over 9.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
14.7 Kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 88.7% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks88.7%87.7%1.13+0.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Jordan Clark Over 9.5 Kicks (-714)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Jordan Clark to kick over 9.5 times look pretty solid, especially since Fremantle has been on a roll lately. They've won 7 of their last 10 games and have been dominating their matches by an average of nearly 29 points. That means they are often in control, giving players like Clark plenty of chances to get those kicks in. However, the Brisbane Lions are also strong, winning 9 of their last 10 games and boasting impressive first-half scoring. This matchup could be close since both teams are in great form. Still, with Fremantle's recent performances, there's a good chance Clark can hit that mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jordan Clark's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Kicks 9.5

Jordan Clark's kicks line is 9.5.

Kicks 11.5

Jordan Clark's kicks line is 11.5.

Disposals 19.5

Jordan Clark's disposals line is 19.5.

Disposals 18.5

Jordan Clark's disposals line is 18.5.

Disposals 20.5

Jordan Clark's disposals line is 20.5.

Season averages (2024)

Jordan Clark averaged 24.7 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

24.7
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Jordan Clark has cleared 15.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o15.5100%
o16.5100%
o18.590%
o20.580%
o22.550%
o23.530%
o25.510%
o27.510%
o29.510%
o30.510%
o32.510%
o34.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jordan Clark is averaging 25.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

25.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Jordan Clark recorded 18 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide18027
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17036
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats281104
4 Aug 24Essendon29061
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles24044
21 Jul 24Melbourne23151
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20095
6 Jul 24Richmond26072
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans23062
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS17076
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Kicks 11.5 Over -313 ✗ MISS
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 18.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks 9.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Kicks Pending
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Clark (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jordan Clark is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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