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The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 74%, for a model edge of +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:38PM UTC
AFL

Judd McVee

Fremantle

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+0.6% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
16.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%73.5%1.35+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Judd McVee (Fremantle) Over 13.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Judd McVee to surpass 13.5 disposals against Melbourne, the stats paint a promising picture. In his last five away games, McVee has been a midfield force, averaging a solid 15 disposals per outing. His recent form suggests he's hitting his stride, with an impressive average of 82.4% disposal efficiency and 7.2 kicks per game. Facing Melbourne, a team he's historically tallied 12 disposals against on average, McVee is poised to capitalize on his strong form. With a knack for generating turnovers and gaining significant metres, he's a reliable bet to meet or exceed the 13.5 disposal line. Bet on McVee to continue his impact in the midfield and rack up the possessions at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.2avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 17.2 · hi 23 · lo 8
1417222321191620128

Judd McVee has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 13.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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