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The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 65%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +3.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Judd McVee

Narrm

+3.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -161 (1.62)
+3.1% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 25 May, 5:20AM
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Model Probability
64.8%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
16.4 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals64.8%—61.7%1.54+3.1%

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AI Analysis

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Judd McVee (Narrm) Over 14.5 Disposals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Judd McVee is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals in the upcoming Melbourne vs. Sydney game based on his recent performance data. With a model prediction of 16.4 disposals and a standard deviation of 5, McVee's consistent averages of 13.8 disposals in his last five away games and 14 overall support a strong likelihood of surpassing the line. His proficiency is evident with a 84.5% disposal efficiency and solid contributions in contested possessions, intercepts, kicks, and metres gained. Despite a current hit streak of 0, McVee's overall hit rate of 9/13 instills confidence in this bet, showcasing his reliability in meeting or exceeding this threshold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.2avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 17.2 · hi 23 · lo 8
1417222321191620128

Judd McVee has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Narrm) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 25 May at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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