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AFL

Judd McVee

Fremantle

Value call

Judd McVee (Fremantle) has one live pick today: over 2.5 marks that pays $164 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
3.7 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.1% · before adjusting for past results 71.9% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap -0.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Judd McVee
over 2.5 marks
Marks Over 2.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.40 Odds-156
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:04AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks71.9%60.1%61.0%1.66+10.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Judd McVee Over 2.5 Marks (-156)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Judd McVee has been showing solid form lately, and he's been able to find the ball in key moments. With Fremantle getting inside the 50 area much more often than Brisbane lately, it sets up a good chance for McVee to collect over 2.5 marks in this game. He's likely to be in the right spots, especially given how much Fremantle is pressuring their opponents. The biggest risk here is that both teams are pretty close in terms of contested ball, and that could mean fewer opportunities for him. Still, with Fremantle's recent trend of getting more inside 50s, it looks promising for McVee to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Judd McVee averaged 16.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

16.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.5
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Judd McVee has cleared 9.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.5100%
o10.590%
o11.590%
o12.580%
o13.550%
o14.550%
o16.520%
o17.510%
o18.510%
o19.510%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Judd McVee is averaging 13.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.2
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Judd McVee recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood8013
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS12120
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide20021
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16024
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS19071
21 Jul 24Fremantle21050
13 Jul 24Essendon23051
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles22051
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions17001
22 Jun 24North Melbourne14020
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 2.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Marks 1.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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