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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 74%, edge +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:27PM UTC
AFL

Judd McVee

Fremantle

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+0.6% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
16.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.2% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.2%73.5%1.35+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Judd McVee (Fremantle) Over 13.5 Disposals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Judd McVee to surpass 13.5 disposals against Melbourne, the stats paint a promising picture. In his last five away games, McVee has been a midfield force, averaging a solid 15 disposals per outing. His recent form suggests he's hitting his stride, with an impressive average of 82.4% disposal efficiency and 7.2 kicks per game. Facing Melbourne, a team he's historically tallied 12 disposals against on average, McVee is poised to capitalize on his strong form. With a knack for generating turnovers and gaining significant metres, he's a reliable bet to meet or exceed the 13.5 disposal line. Bet on McVee to continue his impact in the midfield and rack up the possessions at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Judd McVee averaged 16.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

16.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.5
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Judd McVee recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood8013
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS12120
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide20021
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16024
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS19071
21 Jul 24Fremantle21050
13 Jul 24Essendon23051
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles22051
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions17001
22 Jun 24North Melbourne14020
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 8 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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