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The latest Bet Better model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:02PM UTC
AFL

Judd McVee

Fremantle

Value call

Judd McVee (Fremantle) has one live pick today: Marks Over 2.5 that pays $140 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
Value call
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
3.8 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.4% · before adjusting for past results 72.7% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap -10.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks72.7%61.4%71.4%1.63+1.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Judd McVee Over 2.5 Marks (-250)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Judd McVee has been doing well lately, playing a big part in the Sydney Swans' success. They've won 7 of their last 10 games and are beating teams by an average of over 26 points. McVee has a good shot at getting over 2.5 marks in this match, especially since the Swans have been scoring a lot before half-time. Fremantle has also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but their recent performance shows they have less ball control. The risk here is that both teams are close in skill, which could make for a tighter match. Still, with McVee's form and the Swans' scoring ability, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Judd McVee averaged 16.6 disposals, 0.0 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

16.6
Disposals
0.0
Goals
3.5
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Judd McVee has cleared 9.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.5100%
o10.590%
o11.590%
o12.580%
o13.550%
o14.550%
o16.520%
o17.510%
o18.510%
o19.510%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Judd McVee is averaging 13.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.2
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Judd McVee recorded 8 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood8013
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS12120
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide20021
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16024
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS19071
21 Jul 24Fremantle21050
13 Jul 24Essendon23051
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles22051
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions17001
22 Jun 24North Melbourne14020
Quick answers:How many disposals does Judd McVee average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Marks 2.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
18 Sep 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals 11.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 11.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Marks — — — Pending
11 Sep 26 Geelong Cats @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Judd McVee (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Judd McVee is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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