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The latest Bet Better model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 61%, edge +12.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 12:39PM UTC
AFL

Angus Clarke

Essendon

+12.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
+12.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 6:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
16.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.3% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap +12.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.3%61.0%1.36+12.3%

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AI Analysis

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Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 13.5 Disposals (-156)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Angus Clarke, the seasoned ball magnet for the Essendon Bombers, is poised to shine in their clash against the Adelaide Crows at Marvel Stadium. Clarke's recent form is nothing short of impressive, averaging 16.8 disposals in his last five home games, comfortably surpassing the set line of 13.5. With a keen eye for intercepts (2.6 per game) and a solid disposal efficiency of 75.8%, Clarke is a linchpin in Essendon's midfield. His ability to cover the ground efficiently is evident, with an average of 335.2 meters gained per game. Clarke's consistency is underscored by his 5 out of 7 hit rate in recent games. As he gears up for another home fixture, expect Clarke to once again lead the Bombers' charge, making the over on his disposals a compelling betting proposition.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Angus Clarke - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 13.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Angus Clarke (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 2 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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