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AFL

Angus Clarke

Essendon

Value call

Angus Clarke (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 11.5 disposals that pays $161 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
16.2 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.3% · before adjusting for past results 80.1% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap -0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 12:20 PM AEST
Angus Clarke
over 11.5 disposals
Disposals Over 11.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.10 Odds-164
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 62%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 8:52PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals80.1%61.3%62.1%1.63+18.0%

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AI Analysis

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Angus Clarke (Essendon) Over 11.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Angus Clarke is primed to shine in the upcoming Essendon vs. Port Adelaide showdown at Marvel Stadium. Clarke's recent form at home has been nothing short of impressive, averaging 13.8 disposals per game in his last five home matches. With his knack for finding space and racking up kicks (9.4 avg), coupled with solid disposal efficiency (79.8%), Clarke is a pivotal asset in Essendon's midfield. Facing Port Adelaide, Clarke's mettle will be tested, but his proficiency in contested possessions (3.2 avg) and ability to cover ground (268.8 metres gained avg) make him a strong candidate to surpass the 11.5 disposal line. Clarke's consistency, especially at home, where he's hit the mark in 3 out of the last 4 games, bodes well for this bet. Trust in Clarke to deliver the goods and snag those disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Angus Clarke - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 11.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 10.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Angus Clarke (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Angus Clarke is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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