Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Will Setterfield is poised to surpass 19.5 disposals against Richmond. With a model predicting 22.2 disposals and a slight edge of 1.2%, Setterfield's recent form supports this bet. Averaging 20.4 disposals in his last five away games, he has been consistent. Additionally, facing Richmond, against whom he has averaged 17.5 disposals in the last five matchups, bodes well for exceeding the line. His proficiency is evident with a 70.5% disposal efficiency and 11.4 kicks per game recently. Despite a turnover average of 3.6, his ability to gain meters (275 on average) and secure possessions (14 uncontested possessions) should see him snagging over 19.5 disposals in this game.