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The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Setterfield is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Will Setterfield

Essendon

+1.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -227 (1.44)
+1.2% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 12 Jul, 9:35AM
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Model Probability
70.7%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
22.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.7%—69.4%1.41+1.2%

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AI Analysis

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Will Setterfield (Essendon) Over 19.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Will Setterfield is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Richmond. With a solid L5 average of 20.4 disposals and facing an opponent he has historically outperformed with an L5 average of 17.5 disposals against them, Setterfield's chances are promising. His proficiency is evident in his L5 stats, boasting a 70.5% disposal efficiency and an impressive 11.4 kicks and 9 handballs per game. Additionally, his 22.2 model-predicted disposals, backed by a narrow edge of 1.2%, further support his potential to surpass the 19.5 disposals mark. Given his recent form and matchup dynamics, betting on Will Setterfield to exceed 19.5 disposals seems like a prudent choice for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.4avg disposals recent
Season best29
Disposals last 10avg 20.4 · hi 29 · lo 14
19221916231424291919

Will Setterfield has a disposals high of 29 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Will Setterfield (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Setterfield is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 12 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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