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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Peter Wright is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +8.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
AFL

Peter Wright

Essendon

+8.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+8.0% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.4%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals84.4%76.3%1.19+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 0.5 Goals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Peter Wright and his goal-scoring prowess for Essendon. Heading into the clash against Gold Coast, Wright has been on the rise, bagging an average of 0.4 goals per game in his last five away matches. With an impressive 66.7% goal accuracy overall, he's been a reliable target inside 50, averaging 1.4 marks in his recent outings. Considering his recent form and the fact that he's hit the back of the net in three out of his last three games, the odds are in our favor for Wright to snag at least one major against the Suns. Facing a Gold Coast side where he has averaged 0.3 goals in his previous five encounters, Wright is poised to split the middle and help us cash in on the Over 0.5 goals player prop market. Trust in Wright to deliver the goods in this Saturday showdown at People First Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.1avg goals recent
Season best4
Goals last 10avg 1.1 · hi 4 · lo 0
0401022200

Peter Wright has a goals high of 4 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Peter Wright (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Peter Wright is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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