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AFL

Peter Wright

Essendon

Value call

Peter Wright (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
12.9 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.2% · before adjusting for past results 75.0% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap -8.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 12:20 PM AEST
Peter Wright
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.30 Odds-159
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Peter Wright is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 8:16PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.0%53.2%61.3%1.88+13.6%

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AI Analysis

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Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Peter Wright's performance on the field, the numbers don't lie. This towering forward for Essendon has been a consistent force in recent games, averaging 11 disposals at home over his last five matches. His ability to cover ground is evident, with an average of 151.8 meters gained per game. Against Port Adelaide, he's even more likely to shine, averaging 8.8 disposals in their recent matchups. With a line set at 10.5 disposals, Peter Wright appears poised to surpass that mark, especially considering his recent form and the historical data against Port Adelaide. Wright's precision with the ball, coupled with his knack for finding space, makes him a strong bet to snag enough possessions to clear the line comfortably. So, expect Wright to be in the thick of the action, racking up the disposals and helping your bet hit paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Peter Wright averaged 11.3 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (27 Jul 24 vs St Kilda), Peter Wright recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
27 Jul 24St Kilda7012
13 Jul 24Melbourne8000
5 Jul 24Collingwood13272
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats15262
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles12260
9 Jun 24Carlton12010
2 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS14180
25 May 24Richmond19034
19 May 24North Melbourne15491
11 May 24GWS GIANTS10022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Peter Wright (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Peter Wright is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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