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AFL

Peter Wright

Essendon

+7.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -333 (1.30)
+7.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Sat 18 Apr, 3:15AM
Model Probability
84.4%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+7.4%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 0.5 Goals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Peter Wright to snag a goal in the upcoming clash against the Gold Coast Suns, the numbers paint a promising picture. Despite averaging 0.4 goals in his last five away games, Wright's recent form indicates a player on the cusp of breaking out. With an impressive overall goal accuracy of 66.7%, he's been knocking on the door consistently. His involvement in the Bombers' forward line is undeniable, averaging 1.6 shots at goal and 4.2 score involvements in his last five away outings. Facing the Suns, against whom he averages 0.3 goals in their previous encounters, Wright is poised to capitalize on scoring opportunities. With a current hit streak of three goals in the bag, backing Wright to go over 0.5 goals is a calculated bet with a high likelihood of hitting paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
27 Aug 25 Essendon Bombers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Essendon Bombers @ Sydney Swans Goals — — — Pending
25 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers Goals — — — Pending
17 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Essendon Bombers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Peter Wright (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Peter Wright is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 18 April at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.