Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Peter Wright is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 48%, implied 53%, edge +11.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 9:06PM UTC
AFL

Peter Wright

Essendon

+11.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+11.8% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 2:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
12.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 65.3% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +11.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals65.3%47.7%53.5%2.10+11.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Peter Wright (Essendon) Over 11.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the Essendon Bombers clash with Port Adelaide Power, Peter Wright stands out as a prime target for the 'Player Disposals Over' market. Playing at Marvel Stadium, Wright has been in solid form, averaging 11 disposals in his last five home games. With his ability to cover ground and gain metres, his impact on the game is undeniable. Despite facing Port Adelaide recently, where he averaged 8.8 disposals, Wright's overall trend of 12.4 disposals in his last five games showcases his consistency. His recent hit rate of 3 out of 5 at home indicates he's in a good position to snag this bet. With a model prediction of 12.9 disposals and a solid edge, backing Wright to surpass 11.5 disposals is a smart play for this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Peter Wright averaged 11.3 disposals, 1.4 goals and 4.3 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
1.4
Goals
4.3
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (27 Jul 24 vs St Kilda), Peter Wright recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
27 Jul 24St Kilda7012
13 Jul 24Melbourne8000
5 Jul 24Collingwood13272
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats15262
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles12260
9 Jun 24Carlton12010
2 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS14180
25 May 24Richmond19034
19 May 24North Melbourne15491
11 May 24GWS GIANTS10022
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Peter Wright (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Peter Wright is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers on Sunday 23 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.