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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Farrow is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 69%, edge +6.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:55AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Farrow

Essendon

+6.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+6.6% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.0% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +6.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.0%69.4%1.32+6.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Farrow (Essendon) Over 15.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jacob Farrow's performance on the road, the stats paint a promising picture. Over the last five away games, he's been a midfield force, averaging a solid 19.6 disposals. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his 81.2% disposal efficiency and 324 meters gained per game. Against Geelong, a team known for its tough midfield battles, Farrow's knack for winning contested possessions (5.4 avg) and making crucial intercepts (5 avg) will be key. With a recent hit rate of 5 out of 6 away games exceeding 15.5 disposals and a current overall hit streak of 3, Farrow is poised to continue his form. Backing him to surpass 15.5 disposals is a smart bet given his recent consistency and impact on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jacob Farrow - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 15.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jacob Farrow (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Farrow is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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