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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Farrow is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 70%, edge +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 6:52AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Farrow

Essendon

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
+5.6% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.0% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.0%70.4%1.32+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Farrow (Essendon) Over 15.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL player props, Jacob Farrow stands out as a solid bet for surpassing the 15.5 disposal line against the Geelong Cats. Farrow has been a consistent performer, averaging 19.6 disposals in his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find the ball effectively. With an impressive 81.2% disposal efficiency and a knack for gaining meters (324 avg), Farrow is not just a quantity player but a quality one too. In his recent form, Farrow has been a key figure in Essendon's midfield, tallying up interceptions, contested possessions, and uncontested possessions with ease. His overall hit rate and current streak further support his reliability in meeting or exceeding this line. Facing Geelong, Farrow's skill set positions him well to continue his strong performance, making the Over 15.5 disposals a compelling bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jacob Farrow - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Essendon Bombers @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jacob Farrow (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Farrow is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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