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AFL

Archie Roberts

Essendon

+9.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -833 (1.12)
+9.1% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 13 Jun, 3:15AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.4%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+9.1%
Predicted Value
31.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 20.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Archie Roberts, the midfield maestro for the Essendon Bombers, is set to light up the MCG against Melbourne this Saturday. Roberts has been on an absolute tear lately, averaging a whopping 35.2 disposals in his last five away games. His ability to find space, move the ball efficiently (81.4% disposal efficiency), and cover ground (585 meters gained on average) makes him a nightmare for opposition defenses. Moreover, Roberts has a stellar record against Melbourne, averaging 28 disposals per game in their recent encounters. With a current hit streak of 11 away games and 12 overall, Roberts is in the form of his life. The data paints a clear picture of a player who not only meets but surpasses expectations consistently. Backing Roberts to go over 20.5 disposals is not just a bet; it's a strategic move backed by a scorching hot streak and a track record of dominance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 55.6% (5/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 20.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 21.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 23.5 Over -294 ✗ MISS
13 Jun 26 Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Archie Roberts (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 55.6% (5/9). The latest model pick for Archie Roberts is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 13 June at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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