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The latest Bet Better model pick for Archie Roberts is Over 24.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 85%, implied 66%, edge +19.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 7:18AM UTC
AFL

Archie Roberts

Essendon

+19.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -192 (1.52) · $100→$152
+19.7% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 6:35AM
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
29.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 85.5% · the book's price implies 65.8% · gap +19.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals85.5%—65.8%1.17+19.7%

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AI Analysis

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Archie Roberts (Essendon) Over 24.5 Disposals (-192)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Archie Roberts, the dynamic playmaker for the Essendon Bombers, is poised to make a significant impact in their clash against the Geelong Cats. In his last five away games, Roberts has been a midfield maestro, averaging a healthy 24 disposals. Facing the Cats, he's elevated his game even further, racking up an average of 30 disposals in their recent encounters. With his precise handballs, strong contested possessions, and impressive disposal efficiency of 79.8%, Roberts is a key cog in Essendon's midfield engine. Given his recent form and historical success against Geelong, backing Roberts to surpass 24.5 disposals at GMHBA Stadium seems like a solid bet. Get ready to watch him dominate the field and snag those crucial possessions to drive the Bombers forward.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Archie Roberts averaged 21.8 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 4 games in 2024.

21.8
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.3
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Archie Roberts recorded 28 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions28063
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans25063
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS16142
4 Aug 24Fremantle18054
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 25.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 24.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 23.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Archie Roberts (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Archie Roberts is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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