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AFL

Mason Redman

Essendon

Value call

Mason Redman (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 17.5 disposals that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
20.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.6% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 4:35 PM AEST
Mason Redman
over 17.5 disposals
Disposals Over 17.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.70 Odds-213
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Redman is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 8:53PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%—68.0%1.40+3.5%

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AI Analysis

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Mason Redman (Essendon) Over 17.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Mason Redman hitting the Over 17.5 disposals mark against the Geelong Cats, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Redman has been a ball magnet, averaging 23.4 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 81.8%. His ability to find the footy is evident, with an average of 17 kicks and 6.4 handballs per game. Facing Geelong, he's previously recorded an average of 18 disposals, showing he can step up against this opponent. With recent form on his side, including a streak of hitting his disposal line in 5 out of the last 6 away games, and an overall hit rate of 15 out of 20, Redman looks poised to continue his productive run. Bet on Redman to shine and snag those crucial disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mason Redman averaged 21.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 6.0 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

21.1
Disposals
0.1
Goals
6.0
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Mason Redman recorded 22 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions22092
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans19054
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS27090
4 Aug 24Fremantle27080
27 Jul 24St Kilda16061
19 Jul 24Adelaide Crows24151
13 Jul 24Melbourne20074
5 Jul 24Collingwood19060
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats12054
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles220102
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 17.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 16.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 15.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
02 Aug 26 Adelaide Crows @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mason Redman (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Redman is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 8 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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